AUS200/ASX200 - TIME FOR A KILLTeam, another successful trading at ActiveTraderCommunity - we have hit 4/4 trades again today with target hit.
AUS200/ASX200 has been one of my favorite, but it moves like a snail. However I have all the time in the world to be patience and that what I am good at when it comes in term of trading. Be patience until the PRICE IS RIGHT
Please carefully look at two TARGET price ranges
Target 1 at 8478-8473 - please take 70% profit once it hit here and bring stop loss to BE
Target 2 at 8467-8458 - close our chapter
PLEASE NOTE: These two prices are also taking into consideration base on my statistic and probability of highly chance the target will hit.
Make sure you follow my channel for further trade. As we have not losing a trade for a very long long time. Also click on video above and you will see all my trade are accurate.
Beyond Technical Analysis
TRON TRON (TRX) is a decentralized blockchain platform designed for smart contracts, decentralized applications (DApps), and digital content sharing. It aims to create a fast, scalable, and low-cost ecosystem for users and developers.
Key Features of TRON:
- High Transaction Speed: TRON can process up to 2,000 transactions per second, making it much faster than Bitcoin and Ethereum.
- Low Fees: Transactions on TRON are almost free, making it ideal for payments and transfers.
- Smart Contracts & DApps: Developers can build decentralized applications using TRON’s TRC-20 and TRC-10 token standards.
- TRC-20 USDT: TRON hosts a large portion of Tether (USDT) transactions, offering fast and cheap stablecoin transfers.
- Decentralized Finance (DeFi): TRON supports various DeFi projects, including JustLend DAO and SunSwap.
TRON was founded by Justin Sun in 2017 and has grown into one of the largest blockchain ecosystems
Japanese Yield Surged to Record High 3.2% - Nikkei OutlookAre Japanese markets still a buy after rising 170% since the pandemic, surpassing their roaring 1980s levels?
The reason why Japanese stocks have become some of the best-performing equities in Asia is largely due to the falling yen — a depreciation of around 60%. A weaker yen boosts Japan’s major exporters (like Toyota, Sony, and Panasonic), as their overseas earnings convert into higher yen profits.
But what’s the downside? - Inflation
Yes, they wanted inflation, below 2% yoy will be ideal, but not at this rate of growth at 3.5%.
Another key reason for the stock rally starting in 2020 was that, just like the U.S., the Bank of Japan (BOJ) unleashed massive monetary stimulus, flooding markets with liquidity during the pandemic.
Although the yen has fallen sharply, it seems to have stalled since 2024, that was when the BOJ started raising interest rates from –0.1% to the current +0.5%.
With inflation continuing to rise, the BOJ will likely maintain a hawkish stance on interest rates.
This could cause the yen to strengthen or push USD/JPY lower.
I am also observing a potential head and shoulders formation on the USD/JPY. And if the yen strengthens, this may cause the Japanese stocks to meet its road block.
Nikkei 225 performance since the post WWII to its roaring 80s, to its collapsed, and now rebounded.
Even though prices have breached the 80s level in 2023, it could represent a false breakout, as prices continue to fall back below that historic resistance the last 2 years.
My assessment: The Japanese stocks are still testing their 80s high — a major psychological level.
With money printing, the yen weakened; and a weaker currency fueled inflation.
With inflation, yields and interest rates rise, borrowing costs are increasing across the different tenures — and that’s not good news for stocks.
The 30-year yield is now at around 3% — a level surpassing the deflationary years and that’s something most Japanese would not have imagined just a few years ago.
With a raising interest rate and a stronger yen, let’s see how this will impact the Nikkei 225.
Since the BOJ began raising interest rates at the beginning of 2024, the market has literally stalled within a wide 10,000-point range.
And there is a key support level at 30,000, we can see it was a resistance in the past.
Currently, the BOJ is trying their best in managing the yen and inflation very carefully, to maintain financial system stability. Based on this sentiment, I believe the market will likely continue moving within this wide range — though it may gradually narrow over time.
Make sure to keep monitoring the direction of the Japanese yen, yields, and inflation.
If the yen strengthens too quickly, or if yields and inflation rise too sharply, it could push the market to break below this range and start trending downward.
And if it is all well, market will likely to continue its upward momentum.
Another key factor I am watching closely is tariffs.
The direction of the Japanese stock markets will also be influence by the tariff agreements ultimately with US, and as well as how quickly they can forge potential trading partnerships and alliances — just like other nations, they are racing against time.
Micro Nikkei Futures
Ticker: MNI
Minimum fluctuation:
5.00 index points = ¥250
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
Trading the Micro: www.cmegroup.com
www.cmegroup.com
EURUSD showing signs of a false breakoutEUR/USD Analysis: Potential Downside Correction After False Breakout
EUR/USD currently showing signs of a false breakout from a strong resistance level. Although the broader market condition remains bullish, the recent price action suggests that the breakout may not sustain. This could trigger a downside correction.
The U.S. Dollar (USD) is approaching a key support level, which might provide some strength to the dollar and put downward pressure on EUR/USD.
Resistance zone 1.14000
Support Level 1.13500 / 1.13000
you may find more detail in the chart Ps Support with like and comments for more analysis.
Update GJ 1H June 3rd. Buy/SellPrice bounced around 192.50 — waited for confirmation and entered a buy (200+ pips profit). Now I'm watching the 1H. For a new buy opportunity, I’ll wait until tomorrow morning. In the meantime, I’ve placed a sell limit order at 195.15.
Knowing how the market moves, where price wants to go, and which levels it reacts to — that’s my skill. But anticipating it… that’s my true specialty.
Remember: the market is always right!
GBP/USD Bearish Setup Analysis GBP/USD Bearish Setup Analysis
GBP/USD appears poised for a bearish move, following signs of a completed corrective structure observed a few days ago. The pair had shown a temporary recovery, but recent price action suggests that this correction may now be over, increasing the likelihood of a larger decline.
While the exact catalyst for the move is still uncertain, the technical setup looks promising. This could potentially trigger a liquidity release, especially if key support levels are broken with momentum.
Key downside targets:
1.3400
1.3252
you may find more details in the chart P Support with like and comments for better analysis.
Market next move Disruption of the Downtrend Analysis
The chart currently suggests a bearish breakout with a downside target near 1.12900. Let’s challenge that:
---
🟩 Bullish Reversal Possibility
1. Support Zone Near 1.1370:
Price has shown signs of stabilizing around the 1.1370 level.
Multiple wicks below the candles suggest buyer interest at this level.
2. Low Volume on Recent Red Candles:
A decreasing volume trend on recent red candles can indicate weak bearish momentum.
Bulls may be waiting to enter on a breakout above the 1.1380–1.1390 zone.
3. Potential for Fakeout:
The sharp expected drop might be a bear trap.
If price breaks back above 1.1385 with strong volume, it could invalidate the bearish thesis.
4. RSI/Momentum Divergence (Assumed):
If momentum indicators (not shown) display bullish divergence, this strengthens the case for a reversal
Eyes on the Trap: Will Gold Explode or Collapse from Here👋 Hey gold warriors — Tuesday’s battlefield is fully loaded.
After a strong NY push, Gold is now deep in premium, pressing into key H1/H4 supply. Liquidity is building above, and the market is hunting late buyers. With Powell’s speech on the radar, structure will decide everything.
Will we explode through 3400... or collapse back into discount?
Let’s lock in the zones that matter 👇
🔻 SELL ZONES – Premium Reversal Hotspots
Zone Key Levels What to Watch
🔺 Main Rejection Zone 3384–3398 Final imbalance + H1/H4 supply. Rejection here with M15/M30 CHoCH = high-probability short.
🔺 Breakout Trap Zone 3368–3375 Already broken weak high — could act as a pivot if price fails to hold above. Watch for bearish reaction.
🔺 Sweep Extension Zone 3405–3412 Only valid on impulsive break above 3398. Look for wick trap or quick rejection.
🔺 Extreme Premium Zone 3440–3458 Deep liquidity + fib extension. If reached, this is the ultimate sniper sell zone — watch for divergence and exhaustion.
🔹 BUY ZONES – Demand Reload Triggers
Zone Key Levels What to Watch
🔹 M30 Demand Rebound 3332–3342 Short-term OB + FVG. Scalps only. Must see HL confirmation on M15.
🔹 H1 Demand Cluster 3305–3315 Strong BOS origin + FVG. Clean area to build long if price pulls back.
🔹 Intermediate Reaction Zone 3270–3284 Minor FVG + past reaction. Not a major OB, but could bounce. Confirmation needed!
🔹 Deep Discount Demand 3244–3255 H4 OB + macro structure support. If market flushes here, expect powerful rejection setup.
🧠 Strategic Scenarios
📉 Sell Setup A → Spike into 3384–3398 → M15 shift → short to 3332, then 3305
📉 Sell Setup B → Breakout to 3405–3412 → trap wick → short with target back to 3342
📉 Sell Setup C → Full sweep into 3440–3458 → divergence + reversal → high-prob swing short
📈 Buy Setup A → Pullback into 3315 → HL confirmed → long toward 3375
📈 Buy Setup B → Clean bounce from 3270–3284 with CHoCH → scalp to 3332
📈 Buy Setup C → Washout into 3255 → bullish engulfing or M15 BOS → long setup toward 3305+
⚙️ EMAs & Momentum
✅ EMA 5/21/50 = bullish lock across TFs
⚠️ RSI showing divergence in premium → risk of exhaustion above 3400
🔁 Price now extended — wait for clear reaction before taking action
💬 Final Word from GoldFxMinds
We’re in the zone — literally.
This is not the time to chase green candles or short early.
🧠 Let the structure shift. Let liquidity clear.
Then enter with confidence, not emotion.
💛 If you appreciate this sniper-grade breakdown:
👍 Smash that LIKE
💬 Comment your thoughts below
📍 And follow GoldFxMinds for real-time intraday updates and battle-tested plans.
Let’s trade like tacticians, not gamblers.
— GoldFxMinds
BTC | Short-Term Long | W Formation Breakout | (May 28, 2025)BTC | Short-Term Long | Liquidity Hunt + W Formation Breakout | (May 28, 2025)
1️⃣ Quick Recap: It’s been a minute — busy with university exams! But now back with fresh eyes on BTC. The chart shows a W-formation that already grabbed liquidity. From here, I’m expecting a push to the $96K–$97K region before we reassess. This could be a solid short-term setup. 📚🚀
2️⃣ Trade Parameters:
Bias: Short-Term Long (swing move)
Entry Zone: Current levels (post-W formation breakout)
Stop Loss: Below W-formation low
TP1: $96K–$97K
TP2 (optional swing): $144K (if momentum continues)
Alternative Scenario: Drop to $60K (less likely, but still possible — risk management is key)
3️⃣ Key Notes:
✅ Open interest remains strong — market participants are still looking to the upside
✅ Spot selling observed — large holders and market makers offloading, possibly to create panic and bait shorts
✅ Liquidation clusters seen around $78K–$80K and higher up at $144K using Coinglass heatmaps
✅ W-formation complete — price took liquidity, now aiming for breakout levels
❌ Most traders ignore the difference between possible and probable — while $60K is possible, it’s not the base case right now
4️⃣ Follow-Up: I’m personally offloading some altcoins here while riding BTC short-term toward $96K–$97K. Will update if we break or reject that zone.
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible.
Disclaimer: This is not a financial advise. Always conduct your own research. This content may include enhancements made using AI.
Macro Outlook: Trade War Jitters, Deficit, NFP FridayAlthough there is a headline fatigue and markets have been stabilizing with the worst of trade war story behind us, the fact is that uncertainty still looms. President Trump announced over the weekend that he will double down on US steel and aluminum tariffs from 25% to 50% effective June 4th.
Highlight this week is US Jobs data this Friday. A key point to determine the resilience of the US labor market. With FED Chair Powell speaking today and FED speakers scheduled throughout the week, it will be key to watch how they shape markets' probability of rate cuts?
As we previously explained, ongoing uncertainty and dragging trade concerns present more risks until resolved. Here are some key points to consider:
It remains to be seen whether the trade deficit will continue to worsen or begin to reverse. April trade data, along with any policy shifts such as a reversal on reciprocal tariffs, will be important to monitor. These indicators will provide insight into how businesses are interpreting ongoing trade uncertainty. The key question is whether they will continue front-loading inventory in anticipation of future disruptions, or if the focus will shift toward restructuring supply chains and reining in spending as part of a longer-term strategic adjustment.
At the same time, consumer spending remains resilient, supporting overall demand. However, pressure may be building on business balance sheets, particularly businesses with poor cash flow to manage front loading inventory spending as the trade environment remains volatile. If consumer spending begins to weaken, businesses may be forced to cut costs, scale back investment, or offer steep discounts to clear excess inventory. This could lead to a cycle of margin compression, especially if firms attempt to pass higher costs onto price-sensitive consumers, potentially suppressing demand further.
Conversely, if businesses choose to absorb rising costs to maintain competitive pricing, they face deteriorating margins but may be betting on continued strength in consumer credit, household savings buffers as evident. Consumer confidence, despite being low, is not an accurate indicator in times of uncertainty. Here, we should watch what consumers do and not the sentiment.
In this scenario, firms may delay cost-cutting in the hope that continued strength in consumer spending will support revenues through the rest of the year.
A central tension remains: businesses must navigate a delicate balance between protecting margins and preserving demand. Meanwhile, persistent trade uncertainty and tighter financial conditions may slow capital investment and hiring, further complicating the outlook. Whether firms shift from defensive postures like front-loading toward long-term structural changes in supply chains will hinge on how durable current consumer strength proves to be and how responsive trade policy becomes in the months ahead.
Ongoing front-loading has caused ripples as the trade deficit has further widened. Will this reverse as businesses focus on sales and revenue instead of front-loading inventory?
In our analysis, trade imports, trade balance, consumer spending and corporate profits will be key to monitor despite being lagging indicators.
On the other hand, equally important to watch and monitor goods exports, durable goods to assess and evaluate the other side of the equation.
However, our focus is on imports as manufacturing jobs are at their lowest in US history.
Once the dust has settled and trade deals are locked in, it will be important to note if Exports by Country experience any significant shifts.
What does all this mean for the stock market and futures? In simple terms, the yearly pivot and last month’s high is a major resistance area for index futures. Until this is cleared, we may see a range bound market and two way trade. There is a lot of weak structure to revisit lower. Markets may perhaps retest this before resuming higher. What we would want to see is, last month’s low holding support and this month’s price action trading inside previous month’s range or resuming higher.
If we revisit May Monthly Lows, we may see increased selling pressure come in.
Worldcoin Eyes Breakout But Faces Strong HeadwindsWorldcoin is currently facing a key resistance zone that was previously acting as strong support — a classic flip that now caps upward moves.
Despite recent recovery, the price is still trading below the descending trendline, which continues to act as dynamic resistance.
Until we see a confirmed breakout above this confluence zone, upside potential remains limited. A rejection here could send the price back toward previous support levels.
Keep an eye on this area. A strong breakout could shift momentum, but for now, caution is warranted.
DYOR, NFA
Update on $WIF price actionSEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:WIF has been a disaster since the Sphere top signal, but recently it formed a bottom pattern alongside other liquid memes, listed at futures platforms like Hyperliquid.
I trade these memes actively myself and have caught the up trend since the daily bottomed.
Now a larger weekly signal can trigger, I think it's interesting as a leading indicator for risk appetite in broad crypto, as these #memecoin and #AI tokens have shown reliable patterns with profitable swings for those adept at trading them.
Keep an eye on memes next week, the recent daily chart weakness I observed after the signal I talked about in my last post* ran out of time can be reversed easily (already signaled in 4h charts in most coins).
*I had pinpointed the last daily up trend in it, which led to a nice rally into the upper Bollinger Band before triggering a down trend signal after time for the signal expired.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
Watching for pullback in METAMETA hit a target area I had on my dowsing work for the upside. Actually, it busted it by $10, but I get that it'll pullback to around the $610 area. There may be some kind of news. I'm unsure if it's specific to META, or the entire market. This would be happening soon. Like, tomorrow. BUT, I've been very wrong before... so if it triggers short, I'd expect it to be a decent move down (over 5%). We'll see.
Bitcoin Looks Set for a Dip Before Its Next Big MoveRight now, Bitcoin is showing signs of cooling off after a solid run-up over the past few weeks. Looking at the chart, it seems like BTC is struggling to break through that descending trendline—it’s been rejected there more than once, and now it's likely heading lower in the short term.
Here’s what seems most likely: price pulls back toward the $99,000 support zone (highlighted in purple on the chart). That area has acted as a solid floor before, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see buyers step in again.
After that? If support holds and we see some momentum return, BTC could start climbing again. the chart suggests a potential breakout to the upside, maybe even pushing toward a new all-time high (ATH) above $114,000.
In simple terms: expect a short-term dip, but keep an eye out for a strong bounce—this could just be a healthy pullback before the next big leg up.
for summary:
Short-term dip likely, targeting ~$99K
Strong support there—watch for a bounce
If it holds, BTC might push toward new highs
Swing high on QQQ?My dowsing work is suggesting today is likely a swing high in indexes and there will be a few days down from around here. The level I expect on QQQ is just under 500. I've had some numbers as far as into the 80s as well, but not expecting that this go around.
I posted my roadmap for SPY as an idea for what to expect this week, and this is playing out so far. Today would be the "look above and fail", but we need to get the fail part! If it starts, then I think the target lower is valid.
I also will mention I get the number 6. That could be price or percent. If percent it's down to 495, which makes sense. In terms of price the last swing low was at 506.... idk we'll see.
Room for growth with NAPCOA quick look at the chart shows that NAPCO has quite a bit of room for possible growth. There is a strong uptrend that doesn’t seem to be slowing down at this time.
I am going to be watching to see if it stays above that $20 level ideally and continue its trend upwards.
This company provides vital equipment for burglar alarm and fire alarm communications. As well as other equipment.
Without their communicators, many buildings would have no communication to local fire and police departments. That being said I believe NAPCO will be sticking around. I believe there is a large upside potential here.
NFA, just sharing my thoughts