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Fundamental Analysis

BITCOIN → Correction. The hunt for liquidity...BINANCE:BTCUSDT.P is recovering after liquidity was captured in the 100K zone. Locally, the technical situation is controversial despite the global bullish trend Bitcoin is changing its market character (106700) and breaking the bullish structure (103000) during a correction phase. As part of the downward momentum, the movement is testing liquidity below the 100700 support level. As for the liquidation, there are several reasons: the conflict between Trump and Musk, strangely enough, the market reacted with a fall; the liquidation of whales, history repeats itself... Traders are buying back Bitcoin, but technically the market has a bearish structure. Locally, there is a bearish trend, and a countertrend correction, “liquidity hunting,” is forming. Ahead lies a fairly important zone of 105900-106700. The initial retest may end in a false breakout, as there may not be enough potential for continued growth (after a strong buyback). Resistance levels: 105,900, 106,720, 110,400 Support levels: 103000, 101400, 100K After a correction from 105900, which could target half (0.5) of the trading range, the market may attempt to return to a bullish phase, provided that the bulls keep the price from falling and do not allow it to update local lows. That is, in the short term, I expect a decline from 105900 to 103000, but further, if the price starts to return to 105500-105900, there may be chances for growth to 110K Best regards, R. Linda!
Long
by RLinda
35
GOLD → Correction to 3275FX:XAUUSD and medium-term outlook: Friday's strong unemployment data strengthened the dollar and triggered a sell-off in gold. Money is temporarily flowing out of the metal and into currencies and the stock market... Technically, gold is still in a bullish phase on the global timeframe. Logically, the situation is more reminiscent of a countertrend correction of the zone of interest before continuing growth. Despite the rise in the DXY after Friday's news, the dollar is still under pressure from Trump, who is pushing for an early interest rate cut. This move could significantly shake the market (dollar down, gold up) Locally, on the hourly XAUUSD timeframe, we can clearly see how the price is breaking out of the uptrend, thereby triggering a downward impulse. Resistance levels: 3325, 3343 Support levels: 3303, 3275 The liquidity level of 3300 could act as a magnet for the price, from which a correction to the resistance of the range of 3325 could form (liquidity hunt), but due to the change in the fundamental background, gold may continue its correction to 3275 (support zone) before a possible continuation of growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:XAUUSDShort
by RLinda
6
Can XRP Reach $10? A Perfect Storm of Fundamentals and TechnicalFrom a fundamental standpoint, the Ripple vs. SEC lawsuit continues to act as a major overhang on XRP’s long-term valuation. However, with the SEC’s 60-day deadline approaching (June 16), a favorable outcome for Ripple could inject fresh confidence into the market. This coincides with a broader macro backdrop of rising global liquidity, which historically supports risk-on assets such as cryptocurrencies. Technically, XRP is currently forming a classic bullish flag pattern on the higher timeframes—a continuation structure that often precedes strong upward moves. If price breaks above the flag’s resistance zone and enters a confirmed buy zone, a retest of the breakout area followed by bullish confirmation could signal the beginning of a larger move toward the $10 psychological level. The alignment of a legal breakthrough, improving macro liquidity, and a bullish chart structure makes this a scenario worth watching closely.
CRYPTO:XRPUSD
by PersianBlockchain
3
XAUUSD H4 Outlook – CHoCH Confirmed & Discount Pullback in Motio👋 Hey traders! Here’s your fresh H4 XAUUSD Outlook for June 9, 2025 — real-time structure, sniper zones, and bias clarity, right where price is sitting. Let’s dive in 👇 📍 Bias: Bearish short-term → clean CHoCH & liquidity sweep, targeting discount retracement 🔹 1. 🔍 H4 Structure Summary CHoCH (Lower) confirmed after recent LH at 3384. Price failed to reclaim supply → now trading back below the 3350 level. Multiple internal CHoCHs + bearish OB at 3368 showing clear short-term rejection. Market is shifting from a bullish continuation into a retracement leg. 🔹 2. 🧭 Key H4 Structure Zones Zone Type Price Range Structure Notes 🔼 Supply Zone (Flip Trap) 3360 – 3384 Clean CHoCH, FVG, + OB rejection area — major sell trigger 🔽 Mid-Demand Range 3272 – 3252 Retest OB + FVG cluster, ideal reaction zone for possible bounce 🔽 Deep Discount Zone 3174 – 3145 Last major accumulation + bullish origin block 🔹 3. 📐 Price Action Flow Previous HH → LH → CHoCH confirms internal structure break. Liquidity swept above LH at 3384, trapping late bulls. Now targeting equilibrium zone around 3260–3280 as next H4 liquidity base. 🔹 4. 📊 EMA Alignment (5/21/50/100/200) EMA5 and EMA21 are starting to cross down. Price has lost momentum above EMA50 → retracement expected into EMA100/200 territory (sub-3280). Full bullish EMA stack remains — but this is a controlled correction inside trend. 🔹 5. 🧠 RSI + Momentum View RSI has dropped below 50 → bearish control short-term. Momentum flow fading after multiple rejection wicks from premium zones. 📌 Scenarios 🔽 Retracement Flow in Progress Price likely heading to 3272–3252 demand block for reaction If this zone fails → we open door to 3174–3145 clean swing zone 🔼 Invalidation Bullish pressure only regains control on break + hold above 3384 Until then: favor selling the supply + letting price reach discount ✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note We’ve officially shifted into retracement mode on H4. The game now is to either: Sell retests into supply, or Wait for clean confirmations at demand for new longs Let price come to your zone. No emotion — just structure. 💬 Drop your chart view below or ask if you’re unsure where to position next. Locked in for next move, — GoldFxMinds 💡
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by GoldFxMinds
6
XAUUSD:06/06/2025 Update! Gold experienced a decline to 3314 following the release of unexpectedly strong NFP data. However, this decline is unlikely to lead to further price drops below 3314. This is primarily due to the ongoing turmoil within the president’s own political party, which is only just beginning to unfold and will likely intensify in the coming weeks. Before making any trading decisions, it is advisable to conduct your own analysis. Additionally, the current price action has established an AB=CD pattern, where the price has successfully reversed from point ‘d’. This pattern suggests that waiting for the price to break out could be a prudent strategy for a safe entry. Three targets have been reasonably set, with the potential to reach target two. However, the target three remains uncertain. The total potential profit from this idea is approximately 1300 pips. It is also important to monitor the DXY closely. We recommend waiting for the price to complete its bullish correction before taking an entry on gold. We sincerely hope that this analysis proves beneficial. Please consider liking, commenting, and sharing this post to encourage us to provide more such insights. Best regards, Team Setupsfx_
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Setupsfx_
5
EURUSD: heading toward double-top?The jobs data were in the spotlight of the US market during the previous week. The JOLTs job openings in April reached 7,391M, a bit hotter from market forecast of 7,10M. The Non-farm Payrolls in May added 139K new jobs, which was modestly higher from the forecasted 130K. The unemployment rate remained unchanged in May at the level of 4,2%. The average hourly earnings were higher by 0,4% for the month and 3,9% for the year. As for other posted data, the US ISM Manufacturing PMI for May was standing at 48,5, modestly below market estimate of 49,5. The ISM Services in May were standing at 49,9, lower from estimated 52,3. Previous week on the European market was marked with an eighth rate cut by 25bps, bringing the reference rate to 2%. Potential further rate cuts will continue to be data-driven. The ECB also cut its inflation forecast till the end of this year to 2%, from 2,3% forecasted previously. At the same time, the posted flash inflation rate in the Euro Zone in May is 1,9% on a yearly basis, which was below market estimate of 2%. The core inflation continues to be a bit elevated, standing at the level of 2,3% y/y in May. EuroZone inflation in May was 0% compared to the previous month. The Producers Price Index in the Euro Zone in May was down by -2,2% for the month, and 0,7% on a yearly basis. The balance of trade in Germany in April had a surplus of euro 14B, which was significantly lower from estimated euro 20,2B. During the previous week the currency pair was moving relatively slowly, within a short range. Fundamentals were shaping the investors sentiment. One one side, the ECB new cut of reference rates, while on the other side were relatively stable jobs data for the US market. The eurusd spent the previous week in a range between 1,1340 and 1,1450. There was a short move toward the 1,1490 on Thursday, but the market was not willing to test the 1,15 level on this occasion. Based on moves, the market is still not ready to move away from 1,14 lines. The RSI continues to move above the level of 50, indicating again that the market is not ready to take the path toward the oversold market side. The MA50 continues to diverge from its MA200 counterpart, without an indication of a potential change of course in the coming period. The week ahead is bringing US inflation data for May as well as inflation expectations from the University of Michigan survey. In case of some negative movements in this segment, the market reaction might be triggered. In this case it could be expected further weakening of the US Dollar against Euro, and a trigger for testing of the 1,15 level. Highs from April this year at 1,1570 might easily become the market target. However, if May inflation holds at levels expected by the market, which could be the most likely scenario, then some short term straightening of US Dollar might take place. The first stop would certainly be the 1,14 level, while the next one stands at 1,1275. It is interesting to mention higher potential for double top formation in the technical analysis, which eurusd is currently modestly forming. In case that the double top is triggered in the coming week or two, then the next level for eurusd could be 1,12 level, where highs from September 2024 stands. However, this scenario, if it occurs, could be revealed within the next few weeks. Important news to watch during the week ahead are: EUR: Industrial Production in April in the EuroZone, final inflation rate in May for Germany USD: Inflation rate in May, Producers Price Index in May, University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment preliminary for June.
by XBTFX
4
EURJPY : Bullish Breakout Indicates a Bigger MovementEURJPY: Bullish Breakout Indicates a Bigger Movement Yesterday, during the ECB rate decision, EURJPY broke out from a large bullish pattern. Actually, the price is testing the broken resistance, now turned into support. The price is already testing 164.20 and probably during the coming week EURJPY may start a bigger bullish movement with targets 164.15 and 165.60 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by KlejdiCuni
9
What Will Be The Next Move Of Gold.XAUUSD Analysis Timeframe: 4H/1W Observation: XAUUSD is trading within an upward parallel channel, having previously rejected both the resistance and support trend lines. Currently positioned at the support line, we anticipate a potential false breakdown followed by an upward move. Trading Opportunity: - Buying Zone: 3250-3270 - Rationale: Liquidity is nearly depleted, and a 1W FVG gap is present. - Strategy: Set Buy limits at 3250-3270 - Target: 3500
TVC:GOLDLong
by Anna_Wade
3
EURUSD: Bears May Regain Control of the PriceEURUSD: Bears May Regain Control of the Price From our previous analysis, EURUSD extended the Z wave to 1.1495 due to high volatility and speculation related to Trump's comments against China and the old price theme. However, nothing changed again. EURUSD found sellers near 1.1495 which had already rejected the price again and it seems that the downward movement may resume soon. We do not have clear signs of a reversal yet, but as long as the price is holding and the patterns are valid, the chances are that EURUSD will fall as shown in the chart. Bearish Targets: 1.1230 – First major support level 1.1100 – Possible second target 1.1000 – A deeper correction point 1.0900 – Strong structural support You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by KlejdiCuni
3
BTC next move BTC/USD – 4-Hour Time Frame Analysis Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading within a well-defined downward parallel channel on the 4-hour chart. The price action continues to respect both the resistance and support zones of this channel. At present, BTC is approaching the upper boundary of the channel, which serves as a key resistance level. If the resistance holds, a rejection is expected from this zone, potentially leading to a significant downward move. Traders should monitor this area closely for confirmation signals before entering short positions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Anna_Wade
1
FIL 1D – Quant Alert: Trend Exhaustion Nears, Upside Risk BuildsAnalysis: Filecoin consolidates above the $2.50 mark after absorbing aggressive supply-side pressure. Bear Load drops to 50% – signaling a weakening grip from short-side momentum. Technical Structure: • EMA50 ($2.75) and EMA100 ($2.97) remain overhead – yet flattening slope suggests trend inflection. • MACD histogram flips neutral with positive delta widening – early sign of cyclical shift. • Bullish divergence emerging on volume and MACD cross. Quant Perspective: • Volatility compression post-selloff = breakout conditions. • Trend models estimate upside expansion toward $2.85–$3.05 on volume confirmation. • Risk is defined. Reward asymmetric. Positioning Insight: • Smart money begins scaling exposure sub $2.60. • Break and hold above $2.78 likely triggers model reallocation. No hype, just quant edge. #FIL #Filecoin #QuantTA #HedgeFundLens #CryptoTA #DeFi #FILUSD #TrendReversal #VolumeAnalysis
KRAKEN:FILUSDLong
by BroLal
1
BUY | BrightSpring Health Services (BTSG) Current Price: $24.11 Change: +0.58 (+2.47%) Volume: 1,529,511 52-Week Range: $17.50 – $24.50 Technical Overview: Chart Pattern: Forming a bullish cup-with-handle pattern, indicating potential for a breakout. Moving Averages: 50-Day MA: $22.80 200-Day MA: $21.50 Relative Strength Index (RSI): 65 – approaching overbought territory, but still within a bullish range. Execution Plan: Entry: $24.20 Stop Loss: $22.80 Take Profit: $26.50 Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 Rationale: BrightSpring has surged approximately 38% in 2025, significantly outperforming the S&P 500. Analysts project a 269% increase in earnings per share this year, followed by 20% growth next year. The company recently sold its community living business to focus more on its pharmacy division and reduce debt.
NASDAQ:BTSGLong
by per5onanongrata
2
TESLA TO THE MOON?!! OR TO 0??We are currently developing a bullish channel, we will likely retest the resistance of it at around 317-322 then head up to our FVG zone around 336-343. I am holding options for that very position. For long term stock holders, this is where things get interesting. Tesla is headed to the moon whether you like it or not. Probably the stock as well as the car, haha. So I am predicting at least 60000 per share in the long run. This may seem crazy to some but others will understand. AZO is the most consistent stock and has got 50000% of what it used to be. Tesla will be the next auto one but by far better. Tesla will get dominance in the global EV market. Their self driving cars will bring tremendous revenue, they have pretty much no competition either. They don’t stop here though. Tesla isn’t just a car company. Their energy division (solar, batteries) will overtake traditional utilities. Tesla is also trying to expand into robotics and AI at an unprecedented scale. Hyperloop, Neuralink, and other Musk-affiliated companies also somehow contribute to Tesla's valuation which are all successful. Now the recent “feud” with Trump and Elon may have some worried about Tesla. But as infouential as he is, he is only president for 4 years total. Elon has way more control and is here to stay. That feud means nothing long term, all it does is put Tesla on sale for a week or two. Buy now. Good luck traders. Do your own research please.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by SethGoforth
6
BRETTUSDT THE MEME COINAre you ready to explore the next big opportunity in the crypto world? Let's dive into BRETTUSDT, a meme coin that's catching the attention of traders and investors alike. 📈 --- 🔍 Understanding the Accumulation Model The "Accumulation Model 1" for BRETTUSDT.P suggests that the coin is currently in a phase where savvy investors are accumulating positions in anticipation of a significant price movement. This model indicates that if BRETT breaks above the $0.05756 resistance level, it could signal the start of a bullish trend. However, if the price falls below the recent low, it might invalidate this bullish setup. --- 📊 Technical Indicators at a Glance Current Price: Approximately $0.05190 USDT. Resistance Level: $0.05756 USDT – a breakout above this could indicate a strong upward move. Support Level: $0.03 USDT – a drop below this might suggest a bearish trend. Market Sentiment: Neutral, with potential for a bullish shift upon confirmation of the breakout. --- 💡 Trading Strategy For those considering entering the BRETT market: Entry Point: Consider entering if the price sustains above the $0.05756 resistance level. Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss just below the recent low to manage risk. Take-Profit Targets: Monitor for potential resistance levels at $0.065 and $0.075 USDT. Remember, always do your own research and consider your risk tolerance before making any trading decisions. --- 🌟 Final Thoughts BRETTUSDT is showing signs of a potential breakout, making it an intriguing option for traders looking to capitalize on meme coin volatility. Keep an eye on the key resistance level of $0.05756 USDT – a decisive move above this could pave the way for significant gains. 🚀 Stay informed and trade wisely! 💹
Long
by arztraderofficial
2
GOLD WEEKLYThe latest US labor market data presents a mixed picture for the Federal Reserve's interest rate path and gold prices. Labor Market Analysis Average Hourly Earnings (0.4% m/m vs. 0.3% forecast): Wage growth accelerated, surpassing expectations and the prior month's 0.2%. This raises concerns about persistent inflationary pressures, as higher wages often translate to increased consumer spending and business cost passthroughs. Non-Farm Employment Change (139K vs. 126K forecast): Job gains exceeded estimates but fell short of the previous 147K. This suggests moderate labor market resilience without overheating. Unemployment Rate (4.2% steady): Stability at this level indicates a balanced labor market, reducing urgency for immediate Fed action. Fed Policy Implications The strong wage growth reinforces hawkish concerns about inflation persistence, potentially delaying rate cuts. However, the mixed jobs figure (above forecasts but below prior) and stable unemployment rate give the Fed room to maintain its current 4.25%–4.50% target range. Markets will watch for: Confirmation of wage-driven inflation in upcoming CPI/PCE reports Whether job growth stabilizes or continues decelerating Gold Price Outlook Short-term pressure: Rising wage inflation reduces expectations for near-term rate cuts, boosting Treasury yields and the dollar. This creates headwinds for gold, which struggles against higher opportunity costs. Long-term support: If wage growth sustains negative real interest rates (inflation > nominal rates), gold could rebound as a hedge. Current projections suggest real rates may remain negative through 2025. Key Scenarios Wage growth persists Delayed rate cuts Downward pressure Job growth slows sharply Earlier dovish pivot Rally above supply roof Inflation moderates Status quo Range-bound trading The Fed will likely maintain rates in June while emphasizing data dependency. Gold's trajectory hinges on whether wage trends validate stagflation fears or show signs of moderation. Traders should monitor July's jobs report and Q2 inflation data for clearer directional bias. #gold
PYTH:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
1
XAUUSD H1 Outlook – Clean Breakdown, Focused Zones in Play👋 Good afternoon, legends! Here’s your XAUUSD H1 Outlook + Sniper Plan for June 9, 2025. We’re mid-retrace in a bearish shift, and structure is giving us real opportunities both ways. 📍 Bias: Bearish intraday — structure has shifted, and we’re working inside discount + premium rotations. 🔹 1. 🔍 H1 Structure Summary Confirmed CHoCH → BOS → LL below 3314. Price is sweeping the 3308–3300 weak low, sitting in a sensitive zone. Expect either pullback to supply or continuation into deeper demand. 🔹 2. 📐 Key Intraday Structure Zones Zone Type Price Range Notes 🔼 Sell Zone #1 3350 – 3365 H1 OB + supply flip + fib confluence 🔼 Sell Zone #2 3378 – 3390 M15 premium sweep + LH trap 🟣 Flip Zone 3324 – 3332 BOS origin + minor FVG — reactive zone 🔽 Buy Zone #1 3275 – 3260 Discount OB + imbalance cluster 🔽 Buy Zone #2 3238 – 3225 Deep structure demand + M30 liquidity pool 🔹 3. 📊 EMA Alignment EMA5/21 crossed bearish Price is under EMA50, 100, and 200 → full bearish EMA pressure Retracements into premium = opportunities to sell with trend 🔹 4. 🧠 Sniper Flow Commentary Price is currently tapping weak low zone (3308–3300) If 3314–3332 acts as resistance, we’re in for continued downside flow Cleanest sell comes from 3350–3365, but any valid rejection from flip zone is still playable short Only buy if deep discount zones are hit with confirmation — don’t rush longs in bearish flow ⚔️ Intraday Sniper Plan – June 7, 2025 🔼 Sell Zones 3350–3365 → Premium OB and fib rejection zone 3378–3390 → Final sweep zone above LH 🔽 Buy Zones 3275–3260 → First structural OB in deep discount 3238–3225 → Major support from HTF demand stack 🟣 Flip Zone 3324–3332 → Watch for reaction and possible rejections ✅ GoldFxMinds Final Note It’s not about predicting — it’s about preparing. Sell the traps. Buy only strength in structure. Let price prove itself before entry. Stay focused and confident!💬 Drop your chart view below ,follow for more — GoldFxMinds view💡
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by GoldFxMinds
1
XRP/USD🔍1. Trend and Key Levels General trend In the medium term: We see a clear downtrend, marked by two wide blue trend lines (the upper line from the peak around $3.3, the lower from the local lows). Recent weeks: Consolidation in a wide range between $2.72 and $1.98, with frequent attempts to break out. 📌2. Support and resistance levels Green lines (resistance): $3.16 — the historical peak of this wave, very strong resistance. $2.72 — another strong resistance, around which the price was rejected several times. $2.46 — local resistance, currently the price is below this level. Red lines (support): $1.98 — very important support, tested several times already. $1.56 — lower support, coinciding with the lower line of the downtrend channel. 3. Market formations and structure Declining channel: Wide channel marked by two blue lines. Price is moving in its lower half. Short-term descending triangle: Visible at current levels – local peaks are getting lower, and support is around USD 1.98. Volume: Volume advantage visible on descending candles. 📊4. Indicators RSI Currently around 40 — No clear advantage of the buyer side, slightly below the neutral zone. RSI does not give a signal of overbought or oversold. RSI-based MA — Oscillates below the level of 50, which confirms the downtrend. MACD MAD and signal lines are below zero, without clear divergence. Histogram: Slight advantage of bears – there is no signal to reverse the trend yet. 🧠5. Near-term scenarios Bullish Condition: Breakout above the local downtrend line (~$2.20–$2.25) and return above $2.46. Target: $2.72 (test of resistance), further move possible to $3.16 in case of strong gains. Bearish Condition: Breakout and close below $1.98. Target: $1.56 (main channel support), and even lower – lower channel line. Sideways scenario Further consolidation possible in the range of $2.46–$1.98, until a breakout from this range occurs. 📊6. Sentiment and summary Medium-term trend: Down. Buyers are weak, RSI low, MACD does not give a rebound signal yet. Key level to watch: 1.98 USD – if it falls, the next stop is 1.56 USD. Only a return above 2.46 USD may give the first signals of a trend change. 🧠Recommendation For long-term players: Be careful, do not blindly catch the bottom. For speculators: Play for a rebound only with a short stop below 1.98 USD. For investors: Wait for a signal confirming a breakout from the channel or a clear divergence on the indicators.
BINANCE:XRPUSD
by cryptodailyuk
Turbulent Week Ahead? Gold Outlook June 9-13, 2025Hey fellow traders, Let's dive into the OANDA:XAUUSD outlook for the upcoming week, June 9-13, 2025. The recent price action has been a rollercoaster 🎢, and the next few days promise even more fireworks 🎇. Looking back at the 30-minute chart from May 22 to June 6, gold saw an initial consolidation, then a strong rally to multi-week highs near 3,420. However, this was followed by a sharp, dramatic reversal, pushing prices back below 3,300. This "bull trap" 🐂 pattern suggests underlying weakness and potential preemptive market positioning. Another view on this could be the possibility that a gap on the chart at 3300-3295 of around $5 could get closed. Since strong support is right below this, it could serve as a good launchpad 🚀 for an upward rally. Let's see if the upcoming Asia session on Monday triggers this because its only - $14 from $3309. Key Drivers for the Week Ahead: 📅 June 9, 2025 (Monday) US-China High-Level Trade Talks Commence in London High-level delegations from the United States and China began trade discussions in London. This meeting followed an announcement by President Donald Trump on Friday, June 6, 2025, who described a preceding 90-minute phone call with Chinese President Xi Jinping as "very positive". The US delegation included Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, and US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, reflecting a coordinated approach to addressing complex trade issues. The talks were primarily aimed at resolving the ongoing bilateral trade war, with a particular focus on tariffs and the global supply of critical rare earth minerals.5 While no specific time for the commencement of talks was provided, it is understood they began during London's daytime, approximately (10:12 CEST /  04:12 EDT). These discussions occurred in the context of a temporary 90-day agreement reached on May 12, 2025, which had seen the US reduce its tariffs on Chinese imports from 145% to 30%, and China reciprocate by lowering its tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10%.9 However, this temporary truce is set to expire in early August, and President Trump had recently accused China of violating the agreement, specifically regarding critical mineral exports. The broader bilateral relationship remains strained by issues extending beyond tariffs, including restrictions on advanced chips, student visas, and concerns over China's state-dominated economic model. The prompt scheduling of these high-level talks immediately after a leader-to-leader call suggests a tactical move towards de-escalation of immediate trade tensions, aiming to prevent a full-blown trade war. The objective appears to be managing current conflicts rather than achieving a fundamental resolution, especially with the May 12 agreement nearing its expiration. The core disputes, such as control over rare earths and technology, are deeply entrenched and reflect a broader geopolitical competition rather than mere economic disagreements. This pattern of temporary de-escalation followed by persistent underlying tensions indicates a long-term,structural competition. It suggests that trade policy is increasingly intertwined with national security and geopolitical strategy, implying that businesses should anticipate continued volatility and strategic decoupling in certain sectors, rather than a return to pre-trade war normalcy. Other big movers for gold will be the US inflation reports. 💥 📅 Wednesday, June 11 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT): We get the crucial US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Watch for Core CPI (YoY) with a forecast of 2.9% and headline CPI (YoY) at 2.5%. 📅 Thursday, June 12 (14:30 CEST / 08:30 EDT): The US Producer Price Index (PPI) follows. Forecasts are for Core PPI (YoY) at 3.0% and headline PPI (YoY) at 2.6%. 📊 These numbers are critical. If inflation comes in hotter 🔥 than expected, it will likely strengthen the US Dollar 💵 and push real interest rates higher 📈, making gold less attractive. This could trigger further declines 📉, especially given the current market structure. Conversely, cooler 🧊 inflation could spark a significant rebound 🔄. Beyond US data, keep an eye 👁️ on speeches from various European Central Bank (ECB) officials throughout the week, including President Lagarde on Tuesday (23:15 CEST / 17:15 EDT). Their collective tone 🎤 could influence EUR/USD dynamics and indirectly impact the US Dollar Index, offering a counterbalance ⚖️ or amplification to gold's movements. Key Numbers and Technical Levels to Watch: Gold is currently sitting on a substantial speculative net long position of 187.9K contracts. This is a massive amount of bullish bets 📊🐂, making gold highly vulnerable to rapid liquidation 💣 if the fundamental picture turns sour. A "long squeeze" could amplify any downside move. Immediate Support: The 3,300 level is paramount. A decisive break below it would signal further weakness. Below that, 3,250 is strong technical support where we saw a bounce previously. Overhead Resistance: Look for resistance at 3,350-3,360, and then the recent peak of 3,420. Reclaiming these levels would require a significant shift in sentiment. Expect high volatility ⚡, especially around the US inflation releases. Trade smart 🧠, manage your risk ⚖️, and stay nimble! 🏃 Geopolitical News Landscape 🌍 India / Pakistan The ceasefire from May 10 is holding, but diplomatic relations remain frosty. India has launched a global image campaign to gain support, while Pakistan insists on dialogue and accountability. Outlook: Without substantial agreements on border terrorism and water issues, tensions will stay latently high, with potential for new escalation risks. ⚠️ Gaza Conflict Violence escalated again in early June. Israel intensified attacks, killing civilians seeking aid in Gaza City, and at least six people were killed at a distribution point. Outlook: The humanitarian situation continues to worsen 🚨, and international mediation efforts are urgently needed. However, an immediate ceasefire seems unrealistic. ❌ Russia / Ukraine In the first week of June, Russia launched one of its largest series of attacks: hundreds of drones and missiles hit Kharkiv and Kyiv, resulting in civilian casualties. Simultaneously, a planned prisoner exchange has stalled. Outlook: Strategic air attacks will likely continue 💥, and the prisoner exchange remains deadlocked. Without a diplomatic initiative, the conflict will stay entrenched. 🕳️ U.S.–China Trade War Following talks between Trump and Xi, new negotiation rounds are expected in London. China has opened up rare earth exports, a sign of cautious de-escalation. Outlook: If dialogue channels open 🗣️, systemic trust could grow, but genuine reforms remain uncertain. 🤔 🌐 Global Trade War The OECD has lowered its growth outlook to 2.9%, warning of protectionism 🧱 and delayed investments. The ECB is also maintaining synchronization with the FED. Outlook: Without de-escalation, the world faces a global economic slowdown 🐌 and permanent fragmentation of supply chains. 🔗 🏛 Trump vs. Powell Trump has again complained about the FOMC's hesitancy, nicknaming Powell “Too Late,” and demanding a full 1% interest rate cut. Outlook: Pressure is mounting 📣. Whether the Fed yields depends on if inflation and labor data allow for a loose policy. 🎯 💵 U.S. Inflation – May 2025 Forward-looking data shows a weakening services sector and consumer prices rising again as tariffs pass through. Official CPI data for May 2025 will be released on June 11. Outlook: Higher inflation could halt the Fed's "dereflexion" course — a dilemma ⚖️ between growth 📈 and price stability. 🛑 Technical View 📐 Regarding the major Head and Shoulders (H&S) reversal pattern on the 4H chart I shared previously, I'd like to explain some new developments that are altering its potential outcome. Since the price has re-entered and fallen below the neckline, I activated my "second brain cell" 🧠 to guess what could be next. This led me to revise the larger 4-hour chart structure with the adjustments shown in the accompanying image. As you can also see in the updated version below, a reversed H&S pattern remains a possibility, as the proportions still appear valid. 🔄 Potential Scenarios for Gold 🧩 Under this revised idea, Gold could potentially reach the neckline entry at 3397 (+88) from the current price. This is one plausible scenario. ✅ Alternatively, the price could drop further to the "Head" at 3120 (-191 from the current 3309), which would, of course, invalidate this H&S pattern. ❗ While this is speculative 🔮, given that trading often involves psychological movements and their resulting impacts, I believe this is a favorable approach to forecasting. Another reason to see it as bullish is the formed standard bull flag 🚩🐂. Please take the time to let me know what you think about this. 💬 ------------------------------------------------------------------------- This is just my personal market idea and not financial advice! 📢 Trading gold and other financial instruments carries risks – only invest what you can afford to lose. Always do your own analysis, use solid risk management, and trade responsibly. Good luck and safe trading! 🚀📊
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Wick-Sniper
DXY Ready to Reload? Eyes on 99.100 as Tariff Tensions Ease!!Hey Traders, In tomorrow's trading session, we're closely monitoring the DXY for a potential buying opportunity around the 99.100 zone. After trending lower for a while, the dollar index has successfully broken out of its downtrend and is now entering a corrective phase. We’re watching the 99.100 support/resistance area closely, as it aligns with a key retracement level making it a strong candidate for a bullish reaction. On the fundamental side, Friday's NFP data came in slightly above expectations, which is typically USD-positive. In addition, recent Trump-led de-escalation in U.S.-China tariff tensions is another supportive factor for the dollar. Trade safe, Joe.
TVC:DXYLong
by JoeChampion
2
US 10Y TREASURY: will the Fed cut?The jobs market data were in the spotlight of investors during the previous week. The major impact came from the non-farm payrolls posted on Friday, which was better than anticipated with 139K new jobs added. The jobs market in the US continues to hold strongly, which impacts investors anticipation of potential Fed's rate cut during the course of this year. Namely, as the Fed has a dual mandate of keeping inflation at targeted level and exercising full employment, the stronger jobs market might impact Fed's decision to hold reference interest rates at current levels for a longer period of time. The CME FedWatch tool is currently anticipating 100% odds that the Fed will hold interest rates steady at their June meeting. The FOMC June meeting is scheduled for 17th-18th. The jobs data triggered a strong reaction on the US Treasury market. The 10Y US benchmark yields were pushed to the upside on Friday, from 4,32% on Thursday up to 4,50% on Friday. Usually, after such a strong spike in prices or yields on the market, there is time when the market will consolidate, in which sense, there is a probability that yields will ease to some extent during the week ahead. Still, the market nervousness might continue to the lower extent until the FOMC meeting.
TVC:US10Y
by XBTFX
AAPL Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06🍏 AAPL Swing Trade Plan – 2025-06-06 Bias: Moderately Bullish Timeframe: 5–10 days Catalyst: WWDC event, bullish short-term technicals, declining VIX Trade Type: OTM call option with high R/R profile 🧠 Model Consensus Snapshot Model Direction Strike Entry Price Profit Targets Stop Loss Confidence Grok No Trade – – – – 50% Claude Long $207.50 ~$2.04 $3.00 / $3.75 ~$1.40 72% Llama Long $205.00 ~$2.87 +20% -50% 78% Gemini Long $210.00 ~$1.45 $2.10 / $2.90 ~$0.72 75% DeepSeek Long $215.00 $0.70 $1.05 / $1.40 $0.35 75% ✅ Majority View: Moderately Bullish 📉 Max Pain: $205 → Possible short-term magnet 📆 WWDC Event: Potential catalyst or risk depending on outcome 🧾 Sentiment: Positive, with a bullish skew on options OI 📈 Technical Overview Short-term: Above 10-EMA on 15m and daily Medium-term: Challenging 50-EMA (~$204.83) Weekly: Mixed but improving MACD VIX: Falling (<20), supportive of calls Risk: Compression near $205 due to max pain, and event risk from WWDC ✅ Final Trade Setup Parameter Value Instrument AAPL Direction CALL (LONG) Strike 215.00 Expiry 2025-06-20 Entry Price $0.70 Profit Targets $1.05 (50%) / $1.40 (100%) Stop Loss $0.35 (50%) or if AAPL closes < $203.33 Size 1 contract Entry Timing At market open Confidence 75% 📍 Rationale: Deep OTM offers low-cost exposure with strong potential R/R into an event week. ⚠️ Key Risks to Watch Break below $203.33 → invalidate bullish thesis WWDC disappointment → negative gamma risk Max pain at $205 → short-term pinning risk Theta decay → rapid loss if no momentum by mid-week
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by quantsignals
Gold: down on jobs dataThe price of gold had a mixed week, with around 1% drop on Friday's trading session, after better than expected US jobs data. The non-farm payrolls added 139K new jobs in May, which was a bit higher from anticipated. The strong US jobs market suggests the possibility that the Fed will hold interest rates steady in the coming period. The highest weekly level of gold was at $3,4K, however, it is ending the week at the level of $3.310. The RSI continues to hold levels modestly above the 50 level, which suggests that the market is still not clearly ready to start the path toward the oversold market side. Gold daily lows found a supporting line at MA50. Both MA50 and MA200 continue to move as two parallel lines with an uptrend. The uptrend of the price of gold is still holding on charts. Despite the recent correction, there are two consecutive higher highs on charts, as occurred at the end of May and the one from the previous week. This formation in the technical analysis suggests the probability that the price of gold is heading toward the next peak, probably around $3.430, which was the highest level reached at the beginning of May this year. However, this scenario is for a longer time period. For the week ahead, there is a probability that the price of gold will test the $3,3K level but there is no clear indication that this level might be breached toward the downside. On the opposite side, charts are pointing toward the $3.350, with some lower probability that these levels might be pushed further to the upside.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by XBTFX