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Fundamental Analysis

FI uptrend start possible from this week.The fundamentals of Fiserv is really good. It is growing the figures quite nicely. In terms of TA, I have observed huge red candlestick being present, but the volume is on increasing basis, that means some group of traders/investor have been buying up taking the advantage of many red candlesticks. And there is formation of Morning Star candlestick pattern on the RTS of $160. I speculate that it is going to go up in coming months, with potential ROI of approx 38%. I think good for swinging on this ticker that has fulfilled my TA and FA checklist.
NYSE:FILong
by FinExcel
09/06/2025: WILL WE SEE A BREAKOUT ABOVE 1.3550?GBP/USD PLAN – 09/06/2025: WILL WE SEE A BREAKOUT ABOVE 1.3550? 🌍 Macroeconomic & Fundamental Context: UK Economic Outlook (BoE): The Bank of England (BoE) is under pressure due to inflation and has to make decisions regarding interest rate policy. Diverging opinions on whether to raise or lower rates are creating uncertainty in the market. US Economic Outlook (Fed): The Federal Reserve's monetary policy continues to be a major influence on the USD, especially as the Fed maintains its rate hikes to control inflation. US-UK Trade Relations: Trade negotiations between the US and the UK will remain an important factor this week, and any new developments could impact GBP/USD. 📉 Technical Analysis – GBP/USD: On the H4 and H1 timeframes, GBP/USD is consolidating within a corrective structure, and price has broken several key Fibonacci levels. The EMA indicators (13, 34, 89) are showing strong momentum. Key Resistance Levels: 1.3550 – This is a major resistance level. If broken, GBP/USD could continue its rally towards 1.3612. Key Support Levels: 1.3520 – A short-term support level. If this breaks, price may retrace back to 1.3470. 🎯 Trading Scenarios for Today: 🟢 BUY ZONE: Buy Zone: 1.3520 – 1.3500 SL: 1.3480 TP: 1.3550 → 1.3570 → 1.3600 → 1.3620 → 1.3650 If price retraces to 1.3520 – 1.3500, this would be an ideal buying opportunity with a target at 1.3550. Look for confirmation from technical indicators and the current trend. 🔴 SELL ZONE: Sell Zone: 1.3550 – 1.3570 SL: 1.3590 TP: 1.3520 → 1.3500 → 1.3470 → 1.3450 → 1.3420 If price reaches the resistance zone of 1.3550 – 1.3570, consider selling with targets at the support levels below. 🟡 Scalping: Buy Scalping: 1.3520 → 1.3500 Sell Scalping: 1.3570 → 1.3600 Look for short-term opportunities when price moves within the range. ⚠️ Important Notes: Pay close attention to short-term fluctuations and any major economic data releases from the BoE and Fed. Risk management is key during volatile periods. 📌 Conclusion: GBP/USD is in a short-term corrective phase, but a breakout above 1.3550 could trigger a strong rally. Traders should monitor support and resistance levels carefully and ensure risk management is in place.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
GBPJPY – Golden Pocket Breakout SetupTimeframe: 1H | 🎯 Bias: Bullish Breakout GBPJPY is testing a key Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5–0.618) from the recent impulse leg (194.00 → 196.195). This golden pocket sits inside strong demand and could launch the next leg higher. 🔍 Technical Confluence Fib Support Zone: 195.270–195.447 (0.618–0.5) Price Action: Consolidating near golden pocket, showing rejection wicks Structure: Higher highs and higher lows intact RSI: Resetting around 45–50, leaving room for momentum buildup Next Resistance: 196.200 (previous high), then 197.300 and 198.500 🧠 Fundamental Confluence GBP Strength Drivers: BoE's "hawkish cut" tone — restrictive policy to fight sticky inflation UK macro improving: upcoming GDP & labor data could surprise to the upside Market pricing less aggressive easing compared to peers = GBP premium JPY Weakness Factors: COT RSI at 100% = overbought positioning BoJ delays normalization to 2027 Risk-on flows (VIX ~16.7) reducing safe-haven demand Macro Flows: Bullish NASDAQ + stable oil → support GBPJPY upside Macro Themes: Oil & NAS100 bullish = supports GBPJPY upside Market unwinding defensive positions = bullish for GBPJPY 🛠 Trade Plan 📥 Entry Option 1: Buy on bullish reaction from 195.27–195.45 (Fib golden pocket) 📥 Entry Option 2: Break and close above 196.200 (confirmation entry) 🛑 Stop Loss: Below 195.00 (under Fib + recent structure) 🎯 TP1: 196.80 🎯 TP2: 198.00 (measured move) 📌 “Golden pockets don’t lie when fundamentals align.”
Long
by wajahatarif
3
JPYUSD Smart Money VIP Analysis – Eyeing High-Probability Target📈 Market Context: The JPYUSD (Japanese Yen vs. US Dollar) is currently navigating through a critical structure phase where price is reacting to previously established institutional zones. Recent price movements reveal a clean and structured setup — one that aligns perfectly with Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and CHoCH (Change of Character) theory. This 2H chart provides a roadmap for anticipating the next high-probability reversal, giving traders an edge in both short-term scalps and mid-term swing trades. 🔍 In-Depth Chart Analysis: 🧱 Resistance Zone (0.007020–0.007040): This area has been tested multiple times in the past and acted as a strong supply zone. Institutional orders have previously caused significant bearish pressure from this level. Unless a strong bullish breakout occurs with volume, this zone is likely to hold again. 🔁 Next Reversal Zone (0.006975–0.006985): Price is currently climbing from the SR Interchange Zone, heading toward this marked reversal area. Here's why this zone matters: Confluence of past resistance and imbalance Potential liquidity sweep above minor highs Perfect setup for a bearish reaction to form a lower high Traders should watch for signs of weak bullish candles, wicks, or a bearish engulfing here. 🔄 SR Interchange (Support-Resistance Flip): This level held firm, showing buyer interest after a previous structure break. It signals a healthy correction phase — a typical SMC signature before larger moves occur. The market is offering a retracement opportunity. 🟡 CHoCH Zones: Minor CHoCH (0.006900): A break and close below this level would invalidate bullish correction and confirm the shift in momentum. Major CHoCH (0.006840): The final confirmation of bearish dominance. A breach here opens the door for new lows, targeting long-term support areas. ⚔️ Smart Money Playbook: Current Move: Price is in bullish retracement from previous demand zone Watch Zone: 0.006975–0.006985 (Potential Smart Money sell zone) Reaction Setup: Bearish structure forms (e.g., M pattern, liquidity sweep, bearish engulfing) Price breaks minor CHoCH Sell Entry: After confirmation, with stops above reversal zone TP1: SR Interchange level TP2: Major CHoCH zone 📅 Fundamental Triggers Ahead: Watch for upcoming USD economic data (CPI, PPI, interest rate decisions) between June 11–14, which could act as catalysts for volatility and confirm technical setups. 🧠 Educational Note: This setup is a classic example of market structure shift, liquidity engineering, and order block theory — concepts used by banks and smart money traders. Retail traders often get trapped on the wrong side of these zones. Your edge lies in anticipating the trap, not reacting to it. 🎯 Conclusion: JPYUSD is offering a textbook Smart Money setup. The current retracement gives an opportunity to position early into a likely bearish continuation, provided structure confirms at the next reversal zone. Patience, discipline, and precise timing will be key to capitalizing on this move.
Short
by GoldMasterTrades
Gold support near 3280 remains strong! ⭐️Gold information: Gold prices (XAU/USD) stabilized near $3,310 in early Asian trading on Monday, and gold prices struggled to gain momentum against the backdrop of renewed strength in the U.S. dollar (USD). As of press time, gold was around 3315 points. Although the strengthening U.S. dollar posed resistance to gold, lingering uncertainty surrounding President Trump's tariff strategy continued to provide some support for it. On Friday, optimistic labor market data boosted the dollar and put pressure on dollar-denominated assets such as gold. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported that nonfarm payrolls increased by 139,000 in May, exceeding expectations of 130,000 and exceeding the revised 147,000 (originally 177,000) last month. The stronger-than-expected employment report dampened hopes for a near-term rate cut by the Federal Reserve and weighed on the appeal of gold prices. ⭐️Set gold price: 🔥Sell gold area: 3348-3350 SL 3355 TP1: $3340 TP2: $3330 TP3: $3320 🔥Buy gold area: $3281-$3279 SL $3274 TP1: $3292 TP2: $3300 TP3: $3315
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Labaron
1
WILL EUR CONTINUE TO RALLY AHEAD OF THE IMPORTANT NFP DATA?EUR/USD – WILL EUR CONTINUE TO RALLY AHEAD OF THE IMPORTANT NFP DATA? 📈 EUR/USD IS AT A CRITICAL POINT AHEAD OF KEY ECONOMIC DATA Amid the ongoing pressure on the US Dollar and macroeconomic factors supporting the Euro, EUR/USD might continue its short-term bullish trend. However, key data such as US CPI and central bank meetings could determine the direction for this currency pair moving forward. 🌍 Macroeconomic Overview & Market Sentiment USD & DXY: The US Dollar continues to weaken due to signals from the Federal Reserve (Fed) that they are not in a hurry to cut interest rates. DXY has fallen below the 99 level, with macroeconomic factors showing a continued bearish trend for the USD. Eurozone: The ECB (European Central Bank) is maintaining a slightly tight monetary policy. However, the Eurozone economy is showing signs of recovery, with positive data from the region. US Economy: Forecasts for the US labor market data could impact the USD and lead to volatility in the EUR/USD pair. All attention is on the reports from the US this week. 📊 Technical Analysis (H1 – H4 – D1) EMA 13/34/89/200: The EMA indicators on the H1 and H4 timeframes support the current bullish trend for EUR/USD in the short term. In particular, the EMA 13 and EMA 34 are crossing above the EMA 200, signaling a strong upward trend. Wave Structure: EUR/USD is currently in a corrective wave after testing the strong resistance level at 1.1450. A recovery signal is emerging around the support level at 1.1380, which could present a buying opportunity in the short term. Fibonacci Expansion: The Fibonacci extension levels at 1.1470 and 1.1490 could be the next targets if EUR/USD breaks through the 1.1400 resistance zone. ⚡ Key Levels to Watch Resistance: 1.1450, 1.1470, 1.1490, 1.1500 Support: 1.1380, 1.1350, 1.1320, 1.1300 🧭 Trading Scenario 🔵 BUY ZONE: 1.1380 – 1.1365 SL: 1.1340 TP: 1.1420 → 1.1450 → 1.1470 → 1.1490 🔻 SELL ZONE: 1.1450 – 1.1460 SL: 1.1475 TP: 1.1420 → 1.1400 → 1.1370 → 1.1350 ✅ Summary EUR/USD is currently in a short-term bullish trend and could continue to rise if the support at 1.1365 holds. However, key economic data from the US, especially CPI and central bank meetings from the Fed and ECB, could impact the next direction for this pair. Traders should keep an eye on important support and resistance levels to identify safe trading opportunities.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
BTCUSD VIP Analysis – Clean Breakout Toward 109K + Target🧠 Full Technical Breakdown for TradingView & Minds 🗓 Date: June 9, 2025 | Asset: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) | Chart: 2H Timeframe Bitcoin is currently staging a strong breakout rally after consolidating within a bullish structure. This move appears to be fueled by smart money accumulation and could lead us directly into a high-probability reversal zone just below 109K. Let’s dive into the full structure and what traders should look out for next. 🔍 1. Previous Market Behavior (Left Side of Chart): Before the breakout, BTC had been trading inside a bearish channel, experiencing sharp rejections and forming lower highs. This downtrend climaxed at the Previous Reversal Zone, where strong buyer interest kicked in — this is a textbook example of a liquidity grab followed by buyer absorption. 📈 2. The Reversal & Blue Ray: From the Previous Reversal Zone, BTC formed a solid impulsive move upward — this is where the Blue Ray trendline was drawn. This level acted as the initial support for the new bullish structure. The move from this point formed a new trend, indicating that buyers had successfully reclaimed short-term control of the market. 🟩 3. Central Zone – Bullish Reaccumulation Area: As BTC progressed, it entered a green bullish channel, which we’ve labeled the Central Zone. This zone shows consolidation within a rising wedge, typically a continuation pattern if volume remains steady. Notice how price respected both boundaries of the channel multiple times before exploding upwards. This is a sign of smart money reaccumulation, where institutions are quietly preparing for the next leg. 🚀 4. Breakout to the Upside: BTC has now broken out cleanly from the Central Zone with an aggressive bullish candle, pushing price above 106,000. This breakout suggests a mid-move continuation, and current price action is heading straight for the Next Reversal Zone between 108,800–109,200. Also note the clean cross above the 50% Fibonacci zone, which further supports the bullish thesis. 🔹 5. Next Reversal Zone (Target Area): This is the most critical zone on the chart. Price may: Reject sharply from this area (short opportunity), Consolidate before continuation, Or sweep liquidity above it and reverse hard. This zone could act as a smart money sell zone, where large players unload positions, especially if retail traders jump in late. 🧮 6. Possible Scenarios Ahead: Scenario A – Bullish Continuation: Price breaks 109K cleanly with volume. Next target: 111K–112K (extension level). Scenario B – Rejection from Reversal Zone: Price stalls near 109K. Bearish engulfing candle forms. Short opportunity back toward 106K–104K. Scenario C – Fakeout Above 109K: Price sweeps highs (liquidity trap). Fast reversal back into Central Zone. 🎯 Trade Setups: 🚨 Breakout Buy (Already Triggered): Entry: 105,500–106,000 Target 1: 107,500 Target 2: 108,800 SL: 104,800 🛑 Reversal Short (Pending): Entry: 108,900–109,100 (with confirmation) Target: 106,000 SL: 109,600 ⚠️ Fundamental Awareness: Multiple U.S. economic events this week (see calendar icons below the chart). Increased volatility expected — use smaller positions or wider stops near data release times. 📌 Final Thoughts: This is a classic example of smart money behavior — liquidity grab, controlled reaccumulation, then a breakout toward a magnet zone (reversal supply). If you're already in the move, manage your positions. If not, wait for price action confirmation near the key zone.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Will the Trend Explode or Continue to Retrace? XAUUSD Trading Plan - Will the Trend Explode or Continue to Retrace? 🔥 📉 Current Situation: Gold is currently undergoing a retracement after a strong increase at the beginning of the week. The market is being influenced by macroeconomic factors like the US-China trade negotiations and fluctuations in the US dollar. Gold may either continue its retracement or break out of the current price range. 🔧 Technical Analysis: 🔶 Key Levels: 🔶 Support Zone: 3,276.121 - 3,289.874. These zones are crucial in confirming the strength of the bullish trend. 🔶 Resistance Zone: 3,345.715, 3,363.845. If these levels are broken, gold could continue to rise sharply. 📊 Technical Indicators: The Exponential Moving Averages (EMA) 13, 34, and 89 support the short-term bullish trend. The trendline shows that the bullish trend is intact, but a slight correction may happen in the short term. 💼 Fundamental and Macro Analysis: The US-China trade negotiations are the key drivers of market sentiment. If the negotiations yield positive news, gold could continue to rise. However, if concerns arise about tariffs or failed talks, gold could face pressure. Key US economic indicators, such as PMI, GDP, and NFP, will play a crucial role in shaping the direction of the US dollar, and thus, the price of gold. 🎯 Trading Plan: 🔶 Buy Zone: Entry Zone: 3,289.874 - 3,276.121 Stop Loss (SL): 3,269.000 Take Profit (TP): TP 1: 3,302.000 TP 2: 3,317.000 TP 3: 3,327.000 TP 4: 3,340.000 🔶 Sell Zone: Entry Zone: 3,345.715 - 3,363.845 Stop Loss (SL): 3,370.000 Take Profit (TP): TP 1: 3,327.000 TP 2: 3,310.000 TP 3: 3,300.000 TP 4: 3,289.000 ⚠️ Key Points to Watch: 🔒 Strong Support Zone: 3,289.874 represents a key support zone. If the price breaks below this level, we could see gold approach 3,276.121. 🔓 Strong Resistance Zone: 3,345.715 - 3,363.845 is the key resistance zone. If broken, gold could continue to rise to 3,380.000 or higher. 📈 Market Psychology: Gold is in a retracement phase after a significant rise, but both technical and fundamental factors suggest that the bullish trend may continue. It is essential to closely monitor signals from the US-China trade negotiations and economic news affecting the US dollar. 💥 Conclusion: Gold is in a retracement phase after a strong increase, but technical and fundamental factors indicate that a bullish recovery could be on the horizon. Prepare your trading plans based on key support and resistance levels. 📌 Good luck and happy trading to all!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MMFlowTrading
GOLD: Bullish Bias Holds, But Mind the Unfilled GapGold dipped below 3300 today and bounced back, though the gap near 3289 remains unfilled. This shows buying interest is active, but also reveals that some sideline capital is still waiting for a full retest. Combined with selling pressure on the rebound, it’s clear that bullish strength is currently limited. — 🔍 Two Possible Scenarios from Here: 1️⃣ If support proves firm during consolidation, bulls may regain momentum and push higher 2️⃣ If support fails, price is likely to fill the 3289 gap before launching the next leg up 📌 Current Trade Outlook: ✅ Bullish trend remains intact ✅ Regardless of the short-term path, the direction is upward ✅ Watch resistance at 3331, with a key zone near 3348 — ⚠️ Note: The daily chart structure still needs further correction. If volume remains weak after a second dip and a failed bounce follows, bears may take over again — in that case, the next downside target would be around 3258–3228 📩 Conclusion: Stay long-biased, but react flexibly to support strength and volume shifts.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Arthur3017
How to Use Fibonacci Extension for Effective ProfitHow to Use Fibonacci Extension for Effective Profit-Taking in Forex. Fibonacci Extension is a powerful tool for identifying profit-taking levels in Forex, including XAU/USD trading. Here’s a concise, SEO-optimized guide to maximize your gains: 1. Understand Fibonacci Extension Levels The 127.2%, 161.8%, and 261.8% extension levels predict price targets after a breakout, making them ideal for setting profit goals. 2. Identify Key Price Swings Select swing low (e.g., 3.300 USD), swing high (e.g., 3.344.70 USD), and retracement low (e.g., 3.312.570 USD) on the chart. 3. Apply Fibonacci Extension Draw from swing low to high, then extend from the retracement low. For example, 161.8% may project to approximately 3.360 USD. 4. Set Profit-Taking Targets Conservative: Target 127.2% (e.g., 3.350 USD). Aggressive: Aim for 161.8% (e.g., 3.360 USD), aligning with resistance levels. 5. Manage Risk Place a stop-loss below the retracement low (e.g., 3.300 USD) and aim for a 1:2 risk-reward ratio. 6. Pro Tips Combine with resistance, RSI, or volume; exit early if momentum fades. Update levels with new swings. Leverage this strategy to optimize profits in volatile Forex markets like XAU/USD!
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Henrybillion
Injective INJ price analysis🔼 We saw an infographic showing that the #Injective ecosystem currently ranks second in terms of capital inflow and retention. (First place goes to #Ethereum CRYPTOCAP:ETH with a threefold lead.) 🕯 Now let's check this information on the OKX:INJUSDT price chart, and we can see that there is indeed “buyer power”. After two months of growth, the price of #INJUSD is now adjusting quite moderately. 🍿 So, if #Injective is “preparing something really interesting” for the summer, then the price of their #INJ token should not fall below $10. From there, it will be possible to organize “modest” growth, at least up to $27. _____________________ Did you like our analysis? Leave a comment, like, and follow to get more
by P_S_trade
XAUUSD Analysis – From Bullish Momentum to Target🔍 Overview: Gold has officially broken its ascending trendline, signaling a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish. This trendline acted as dynamic support for days, but its breakdown has opened the doors to potential downside movement. We're now in a phase where lower highs and lower lows are forming — a classic bearish signal. 📌 Key Levels & Price Zones: 🔻 Trendline Breakdown A strong upward trendline was broken, confirming that bullish momentum has weakened. The trendline break was followed by aggressive bearish candles, signaling that sellers are gaining strength. 🔄 SR Interchange Zone (~3,322 – 3,330) This area once acted as strong support and has now flipped to resistance. It’s a key level to watch for rejections or false breakouts. As long as the price stays below it, the bias remains bearish. 🔽 Mini Support Zone (~3,345 – 3,350) A weak support area that could be retested. If price fails to hold above it, sellers will likely take over again. ⚠️ Minor CHoCH (~3,290) This level marks the short-term structure shift. A breakdown here will confirm continuation to the downside. A short opportunity might present itself below this zone. 🌀 Next Reversal Zone (~3,275 – 3,280) A potential demand area. Watch how the price reacts — this is where bulls might step in temporarily for a bounce or consolidation. 🚨 Major CHoCH (~3,265) This is a critical support level. If it breaks, the entire bullish structure from early June is invalidated, opening the door to deeper retracement. 📈 Forecast Path: Based on the price projection: Expect lower highs to form. If bearish momentum continues, we could see a breakdown below Minor CHoCH, targeting the Next Reversal Zone. A clean break below 3,265 would signal a major trend change, confirming bearish control. 📊 Trade Ideas: 🔻 Short-Term Bearish Scenario: Look for price to reject the SR Interchange or Mini Support zones. Entry: After confirmation below 3,330 Targets: 3,290 → 3,275 → 3,265 SL: Above 3,350 🔼 Bullish Bounce Scenario: If price reaches 3,275 and forms bullish confirmation (engulfing candle, divergence), we might see a short-term reversal. Entry: On bullish candle close from support zone Target: Back to 3,322 or higher 📅 Upcoming Events to Watch: There are several U.S. economic data releases coming this week (marked on the chart). These can create sharp moves in XAUUSD, so manage your risk wisely. ✅ Final Thoughts: Gold is at a key turning point. The breakdown from the trendline is significant, and structure now favors sellers — unless bulls reclaim critical levels. Wait for confirmation before entering, and always trade with proper risk management. 📌 Follow for more clean chart breakdowns, updates, and trade setups!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 9, 2025 USDJPYThe Japanese Yen (JPY) is rising at the start of the new week, reacting to upward revisions to Japan's first quarter GDP data. This comes amid signs of rising inflation in Japan and confirmation of bets that the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will continue to raise interest rates, which in turn provides a slight boost to the JPY. In addition, a modest decline in the US Dollar (USD) is putting some downward pressure on the USD/JPY pair during the Asian session. For now, the Yen appears to have broken a two-day losing streak against its US counterpart, although traders may refrain from aggressive directional bets ahead of key US-China trade talks in London. In addition, stronger-than-expected US jobs data released on Friday dampened hopes that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut interest rates soon this year, which could serve as a tailwind for the dollar and limit USD/JPY pair losses. Trade recommendation: SELL 143.85, SL 144.85, TP 141.85
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Nothing to Be Afraif Of!- Tesla has historically traded at high valuation multiples—and still does. But since its investor base is driven by excitement for the future and a love for innovation, it's unclear how much those valuation metrics really matter. - After the first higher low structure following a corrective price wave, Tesla surged as much as 227.60%, before facing selling pressure. We're now tracking the second impulsive wave's retracement, particularly the 61.8% and 78.6% Fibonacci levels. - Trying to catch the bottom at these levels is pointless. It's better to wait for 2–3 green Heikin Ashi candles and confirmation that these levels are holding. - Current positions can be held. If you want to sell, go ahead—but remember this: No one has stayed optimistic about Tesla for more than two months. So, there's no need to panic.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Tolgaun6
GOLD GOLD opens on liquidity demand floor on 15min chart and took 3295-3300 demand floor for uptick as early discussed on other gold chart. 3358-3365 hold a strong supply roof and a double top structure broken neckline will hold buyers @ 3358-3365 .if that layer is respected ,your buy profit will be taken. but if is broken you go long on retest of 3358-3365. Gold, 10-Year Bond Yield, DXY, and Interest Rate Differential 1.Gold is trading around $3,324 after dipping into 3300-3295 per ounce on Asian session The price remains elevated compared to historical levels, supported by inflation concerns, geopolitical risks, and strong central bank demand. 2. Relationship with 10-Year Bond Yield The US 10-year Treasury yield is hovering near 4.5%, recently rising amid inflation worries and fiscal uncertainties.the boost from NFP took 10 year yield from 4.3% to 4.58% close of Friday . Gold has an inverse relationship with real yields (nominal yields minus inflation expectations). Rising nominal yields increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding gold, generally pressuring gold prices lower. However, if inflation expectations remain elevated, gold can still hold value as an inflation hedge despite rising nominal yields. 3. Relationship with DXY (US Dollar Index) Gold and the DXY share a strong negative correlation because gold is priced in USD. When the dollar strengthens, gold becomes more expensive in other currencies, reducing demand and pushing prices down. Recent dollar strength on demand floor has weighed on gold, but persistent inflation, geopolitical tension ,political instability and safe-haven demand have limited gold’s downside. 4. Interest Rate Differential Impact The interest rate differential between the US and other major economies affects capital flows and currency valuations, indirectly influencing gold. Higher US rates relative to other countries tend to strengthen the dollar, pressuring gold. Conversely, narrowing differentials or expectations of Fed rate cuts can weaken the dollar and support gold prices. Gold prices remain in a higher trading range ($3,000–$3,500) supported by inflation fears, geopolitical risks, and central bank buying. Near-term pressure may come from rising bond yields and a strong dollar. Critical looks on over bought market would need a correction to set up a new buy rally. The upcoming U.S. inflation data release on June 11, 2025 and Fed policy signals will be crucial in determining gold’s direction. Core CPI m/m forecast: 0.3% (previous 0.2%) CPI m/m forecast: 0.2% (previous 0.2%) CPI y/y forecast: 2.5% (previous 2.3%) How the Federal Reserve is likely to react if actual figures exceed forecasts: (1)Monetary Policy Stance The Fed’s May 2025 minutes emphasize a data-dependent approach, maintaining the federal funds rate at 4.25%–4.50% while carefully assessing incoming data and risks to inflation and employment. If inflation prints come in higher than expected, especially core CPI and y/y CPI, it would signal persistent inflation pressures, potentially delaying or reducing the likelihood of imminent rate cuts. (2)Possible Fed Response The Fed may adopt a more cautious or hawkish tone in its June 17–18 meeting, signaling readiness to keep rates elevated longer or even consider further tightening if inflation remains sticky. Policymakers could emphasize the need for “greater confidence” that inflation is on a sustainable downward path before easing monetary policy. Market expectations for rate cuts later in 2025 could be pushed back or diminished, supporting higher bond yields and a stronger dollar. (3)Market Implications A stronger-than-forecast CPI print would likely boost the US dollar (DXY) as markets price in a prolonged high-rate environment. Treasury yields, especially the 10-year yield, may rise reflecting increased inflation risk and delayed easing. Conversely, gold and other inflation-sensitive assets may face selling pressure due to higher real yields and dollar strength. Conclusion Gold’s price dynamics in June 2025 are shaped by a tug-of-war between rising US 10 year Treasury yields and a strengthening dollar, which weigh on gold, and inflation concerns plus safe-haven demand, which support it. The interest rate differential reinforces dollar strength, typically bearish for gold, but ongoing macro uncertainties keep gold elevated as a strategic asset and store of value. #gold #dollar
FX:XAUUSDLong
by Shavyfxhub
Buying ASTS — Waiting for BreakoutASTS has broken out of a long-term downtrend and is now consolidating in a tight range, forming a base after a strong impulse move. This kind of price action often leads to another breakout, especially when supported by rising volume and EMAs lining up underneath. I’m buying in this current zone, expecting a breakout from the range and continuation to the upside. I’ll be watching for confirmation through volume spikes and a clean move above resistance. The chart structure looks strong, and the upside potential remains high.
NASDAQ:ASTSLong
by InvestWorld_777
Bitcoin - Bitcoin holds $100,000 support?!Bitcoin is above the EMA50 and EMA200 on the four-hour timeframe and has broken out of its short-term descending channel. We can look for Bitcoin short positions from the supply zone. If this corrective move occurs, we can also look for Bitcoin long positions in the demand zone. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range. Bitcoin network transaction activity has dropped to its lowest level since October 2023. According to data from The Block, the seven-day moving average of Bitcoin transactions has recently declined to 317,000—marking the lowest point in the past 19 months. This decline comes at a time when Bitcoin’s price still hovers near its all-time highs. Meanwhile, Bitcoin Core developers have recently stated that network nodes should not block the relay of low-fee or non-standard transactions if miners are willing to process them. This highlights a shift in Bitcoin’s policy direction and indicates a growing acceptance among some miners of lower-cost transactions. In certain instances, miners’ appetite for transaction fees appears to have diminished. Mononaut, founder of the Mempool project, pointed out that a transaction with an almost-zero fee was recently included in a block. This could signal reduced network activity or a declining need among miners to prioritize high-fee transactions. Currently, only 0.3% of American investors’ total assets are allocated to Bitcoin. Real estate dominates their portfolios, followed by bonds and stocks.This means that Bitcoin accounts for a very small portion of U.S. investor wealth. However, if even a small fraction of capital currently tied up in real estate, stocks, or bonds shifts into Bitcoin in the future, it could have a substantial market impact—an encouraging sign over the long term. The United States has emerged as the dominant force in the Bitcoin ecosystem. A report by River outlines how this dominance has reached its peak. The U.S. holds nearly 40% of the total Bitcoin supply, and American companies account for a staggering 94.8% of public Bitcoin ownership. Additionally, 82% of development funding and approximately 79.2% of Bitcoin ETF ownership originate from the U.S. The country also commands about 36% of the global hash rate. Since 2021, the total value of Bitcoin mined by American companies has reached $42.6 billion, accompanied by over $30 billion in investment into Bitcoin mining infrastructure. The U.S. now hosts more than 150 Bitcoin-related companies and 40 mining sites with capacities exceeding 10 megawatts. Today, nearly two-thirds of all Bitcoin in circulation is held by individuals who rarely—or never—sell their coins. In just the last 30 days, roughly 180,000 Bitcoins have been moved to wallets with historically low selling activity. Meanwhile, whales continue to accumulate Bitcoin at price levels above $100,000.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Buying CRCL after IPO — expecting a strong move like SEZLCRCL just hit the market after its IPO and is already showing signs of strength. This setup reminds me a lot of SEZL — after it went public, we saw a strong consolidation phase followed by a confident rally. Right now, CRCL looks like it’s building a solid base. I'm starting to buy around current levels, expecting demand to grow. As long as the structure holds and buyers stay active, I see a good chance for continuation to the upside. New IPOs like this often attract attention, and I’m treating it as an early opportunity. Same playbook as SEZL — patience and positioning.
NYSE:CRCLLong
by InvestWorld_777