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XAUUSD - Gold is on the verge of a very important week!Gold is trading above the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. I predict the path ahead for gold to be upward and if the resistance level is broken, we can look for buying opportunities. If gold corrects, we can also buy it with a reward at an appropriate risk. Gold prices experienced a mild decline over the past week, with market sentiment shaped less by fundamental shifts and more by mixed messages and scattered commentary around tariffs.Despite the noise, many traders chose to rely on data and technical charts rather than reacting emotionally—data that painted a more subdued picture than the headlines suggested. Rich Checkan, CEO of Asset Strategies International, responded confidently in a recent survey, predicting further gains in gold. “The trajectory for gold is clearly upward. Prices have stabilized around the $3,300 level and appear ready for a new rally, especially if the appellate court’s ruling on tariffs is upheld,” he said. Checkan also pointed to another macroeconomic factor that could support gold: “A new tax bill, described as large and costly, is set to be voted on in the Senate soon. If passed, it will likely widen the budget deficit, which historically leads to increased liquidity and rising inflation—a favorable environment for gold.” On Friday, the PCE inflation report showed easing price pressures, though not enough to put the Federal Reserve at ease. Core PCE (excluding food and energy) rose by 0.1% month-over-month and 2.5% year-over-year in April—matching expectations and slightly down from 2.7% the previous month. The headline PCE also increased 2.1% annually, just below the forecast of 2.2%. The key point: these data reflect the first month in which Trump’s new tariffs were active, yet there’s little evidence so far that they’ve caused inflation to rise. Still, the disinflationary trend remains sluggish and distant from the Fed’s 2% target. In its latest minutes, the Fed warned that inflation may prove more persistent than previously thought. Nick Timiraos of The Wall Street Journal, despite the seemingly positive PCE numbers, issued a cautionary note with four key insights: • The inflationary impact of tariffs is expected to begin showing up from May and be fully reflected in June’s data. This could accelerate goods price increases and disrupt the path of disinflation. • Last year’s monthly PCE figures were particularly weak (May: 0%, June: 0.1%, July: 0.2%). As these drop out of the annual calculation, even if monthly gains remain steady, YoY rates could rise mathematically. • The three-month average for Core PCE from May to October 2024 was only 0.1%. If upcoming monthly figures hit 0.2%, annual disinflation could stall or even reverse. • While the latest report is encouraging, the effects of tariffs and the removal of last year’s weak data could complicate the inflation trajectory. Looking ahead, market attention will focus heavily on a suite of crucial U.S. labor market indicators. The Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS) is due Tuesday, private sector employment data (ADP) on Wednesday, and jobless claims on Thursday. However, the most anticipated release will be Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report for May—widely viewed as a key factor influencing rate expectations. Alongside labor data, markets will also watch other critical economic reports. The ISM Manufacturing PMI on Monday and the ISM Services PMI on Wednesday will offer broader insight into U.S. business activity. In the realm of monetary policy, interest rate decisions from the Bank of Canada (Wednesday) and the European Central Bank (Thursday) are expected to trigger notable movements in the currency and gold markets.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by Ali_PSND
Monday thoughts and reports Our initial trade of the week was a success no drawback. The currency pair has created a new level and is now in a testing zone that I view as either a possible reversal or continuation of a downtrend validated by the 4 hour and daily timeframes. My points of interaction. Sell: Open and close below 142.579 Buy: Reversal at 142.579 Even though these are the points I'm interested keep in mind it is early in the week and there is a chance for consolidation so beware of overtrading. Monday June 2nd Reports: ISM Manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers' Index) For May of 2025 it reported at about 48.7% which indicates a continued contraction in the manufacturing sector. Aprils was 49% So we are looking at a slower pace. The current prediction is 49.5%. This is the ninth consecutive month with the index below 50% which is below the neutral threshold of 50%. New Orders decreased to 48.6% from 55.1% Production: Slowed to 50.7% from 52.5% Employment: Fell into contraction at 47.6% down from 50.3% Prices: Accelerated to 62.4% the highest since June 2022, due to increased cost from tariffs Supplier Deliveries: Slowed to 54.5% from 50.9%, indicating longer lead times Inventories: Remained stable at 49.9% Backlog of Orders: Contracted less at 46.8% compared to 44.9% (backlogs are still declining, but not as sharply) The manufacturing sector is experiencing the initial operational impacts of the new administrations tariff policies, leading to increased prices and supply chain disruptions How does this impact USD/JPY? PMI below 50 signals economic weakness it signals contraction in the manufacturing sector. This puts a cloud over the confidence in US economic strength and may lead traders to lower expectations for future fed rate hikes (or even expect cuts) A lower PMI reduces investor confidence in US economy which cloud lead to a weaker dollar This will result in a stronger yen (safe haven currency) against the us dollar Pay attention to: Fed and BOJ monetary policy outlooks, geopolitical risk appetite, interest rate differentials, and upcoming US jobs data report
by OrangeSodaOfficial
Bitcoin - Will Bitcoin reach $120,000?!Bitcoin is in its short-term descending channel on the four-hour timeframe, between the EMA50 and EMA200. Personally, I would look to sell Bitcoin at a target of $100,000. Either from the channel ceiling or after an invalid breakout of the specified channel. If this corrective move occurs, Bitcoin buying opportunities can be sought within the demand zone. It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market, and capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy within the demand range. The Bitcoin 2025 Conference, widely regarded as the largest global event dedicated to Bitcoin and blockchain technology, took place from May 27 to 29 at the Venetian Convention Center in Las Vegas, Nevada. First launched in 2019 and held annually since, the conference has become the central meeting point for Bitcoin enthusiasts and professionals, offering a platform for knowledge exchange, ideation, and innovation within the Bitcoin ecosystem. With over 30,000 attendees, 400 speakers, and participation from around 5,000 companies, this year’s event played a significant role in advancing the global adoption of Bitcoin—often referred to as “hyperbitcoinization.” The 2025 edition covered not only technical subjects such as Layer 2 scaling solutions and privacy enhancements, but also broader themes like institutional adoption, strategic Bitcoin reserves, and its implications for financial freedom on a global scale.From an economic perspective, there was a strong emphasis on Bitcoin’s role as a store of value amid inflationary pressures and unstable monetary policies. Forecasts presented by key figures such as Michael Saylor and Paolo Ardoino pointed to Bitcoin’s potential to emerge as a foundational asset within global financial systems. These projections were further supported by the expansion of the M2 money supply in 2024 and expectations for continued growth into 2025. In addition to highlighting opportunities, the event also addressed the challenges facing Bitcoin. One major concern was the lack of clear legal and regulatory frameworks in certain countries—a topic addressed by Caitlin Long and other speakers. Such regulatory uncertainty could hinder broader Bitcoin adoption. Moreover, Bitcoin’s price volatility—highlighted by a 3.4% decline in the weeks leading up to the conference—raised questions about the market’s long-term stability. Meanwhile, Coinbase reported that the repayment of debts related to the bankrupt FTX exchange could act as a $5 billion liquidity injection into the crypto market. This development is expected to boost capital inflows and potentially draw major institutional players back into the space. According to Coinbase, as of May 30, the “FTX Recovery Trust” has begun its second phase of repayments, distributing over $5 billion in stablecoins to creditors. These payouts are being processed over three days via the BitGo and Kraken platforms. Unlike the first round in February, this phase involves only stablecoin disbursements rather than a mix of crypto and cash—enabling recipients to reinvest their funds more quickly and efficiently. Additionally, U.S.-based companies currently hold 94.8% of all Bitcoin owned by publicly traded firms. The U.S. also commands 36% of the global Bitcoin hash rate, underscoring its dominance in mining activities. So far, 36 U.S. states have enacted pro-Bitcoin legislation, signaling a growing legal endorsement of the cryptocurrency across the country. This level of concentration—in ownership, regulatory leadership, and mining capacity—could position the U.S. to play a more decisive role in shaping future global Bitcoin regulations.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_PSND
EURUSD → False breakout of resistance. Correction?FX:EURUSD is strengthening amid a decline in the dollar, but the currency pair is encountering strong resistance and forming a false breakout, which could trigger a correction. EURUSD is testing the resistance range as part of a distribution and forming a false breakout. The market structure is bullish, with the price breaking through local resistance and updating its high. The inability to continue growth and price consolidation below 1.1418 may trigger a correction. The dollar is also hitting support and may form a small correction, which will put pressure on EURUSD Resistance levels: 1.14246, 1.1418 Support levels: 1.1384, 1.1343 If the currency pair fails to consolidate above 1.14246 during the resistance retest in order to continue its growth, then we can expect price consolidation below this level to open a short position. The correction may reach the specified support zones before continuing its growth. Best regards, R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
6
Bitcoin Monthly Candle Colour Close since 2011 - looking forward May Closed GREEN, and We are currently on a Very small Green candle for the month open. Last month, in this series of monthly charts posts, I mentioned this.. "On only 2 occasions have we had a GREEN JAN, RED FEB, RED MARCH, GREEN APRIL And Both of them were on the way to ATH. ( Arrows ) On both those occasions we had a GREEN MAY, though the gains were minimal and one was followed by a Green June and the other by a Red June." And we just closed May with a minimal GREEN candle. This is important to understand, This month, we have a 50/50 chance of repeating the Green June candle in this pattern. Outside of this pattern, The previous MAY closes, 7 Green to 6 Red. Of the 7 Green, 5 were followed by a Green June With this, we have a higher % chance of a Green June Of All previous June Closes, we had 7 Green to 6 Red. Of those 7 previous Green June Closes, 3 were followed by GREEN July Of the 6 previous RED Junes, ALL were followed by GREEN July With this in mind, we maybe in a better position if we did close June with a small RED candle, as we did in the 2020 sequence ( right hand Arrow) Should we close June RED, I will then expect a fairly level summer period with PA beginning to start moving again around September / October Bitcoin PA is in an excellent position to move higher now though. It is also in an excellent position to move away from previous cycle patterns and begin creating new one. We do have to remain vigilant as markets are moving everywhere and Macro conditions could change rapidly But the one thing that seems to remain static is that it is a VERY GOOD IDEA to Buy Bitcoin and HOLD IT
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
The Day AheadKey Economic Data Releases United States ISM Manufacturing Index (May) A leading indicator for the economy. A stronger-than-expected reading could strengthen the USD and raise Treasury yields. Construction Spending (April) Tracks activity in the construction sector, useful for GDP estimates. United Kingdom Net Consumer Credit & M4 Money Supply (April) Provides insights into consumer borrowing and monetary conditions. Could impact expectations for Bank of England rate policy. Japan Q1 MoF Corporate Survey Gives details on corporate investment and sentiment. Relevant for the yen and Bank of Japan policy expectations. Italy Manufacturing PMI (May) A reading below 50 suggests contraction. Important for eurozone growth outlook and Italian asset risk premiums. New Car Registrations Measures consumer demand; useful for sentiment tracking. Budget Balance Signals fiscal stance; could influence bond spreads versus German bunds. Canada Manufacturing PMI (May) A forward-looking business condition indicator. Could influence the Canadian dollar, especially if divergent from the US PMI. Switzerland Q1 GDP Market will watch for economic resilience or slowdown. May influence Swiss franc and SNB expectations. Central Bank Speakers Federal Reserve Jerome Powell (Chair) Christopher Waller (Governor) Lorie Logan (Dallas Fed President) Austan Goolsbee (Chicago Fed President) Market Focus: Any remarks on inflation persistence, growth outlook, or timing of potential rate cuts could impact the USD, equity futures, and front-end yields. Waller and Logan are particularly market-sensitive. Bank of England Catherine Mann (MPC Member) Market Focus: A known hawk—her comments on inflation and rate cut timing could influence sterling and UK short-term rates. Trading Implications The US ISM manufacturing index is the most market-sensitive data point of the day. Fed speakers could significantly affect interest rate expectations and USD. UK and Japan data will influence BoE and BoJ rate path expectations, impacting GBP and JPY. Risk assets may react to broad manufacturing PMI trends and any hawkish/dovish surprises from central bankers. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
BTCUSD Mind Mapping Analysis (MMC) + Structure Mapping + Target🕵️‍♂️ Introduction Welcome traders! In today’s BTCUSD analysis, we dive deep into the Mind Mapping Concept (MMC) with curve-based support, smart money structure shifts, and mapped liquidity levels. This chart reveals how institutional players moved price through liquidity traps, accumulation zones, and major breakout points, culminating in a reversal zone. This breakdown is ideal for traders using: Smart money concepts (SMC) Curve theory Liquidity sweeps Structure mapping 🔍 Detailed Breakdown of the Chart: 🔹 1. Ellipse Zone – Liquidity Trap Phase The blue ellipse on the left shows a clear area of price compression and indecision. This is where retail traders often enter prematurely, expecting reversal. Smart money exploits these zones to collect liquidity — this is not yet a trend shift, but a trap. You can observe multiple wicks and fakeouts, signaling manipulation and preparation for expansion. 🔹 2. Expanding Channel – Volatility Phase Following the trap, price enters an expanding pattern (also known as a megaphone). These structures indicate uncertain market behavior, often manipulated to clear both highs and lows. Smart money uses this to exhaust both buyers and sellers before deciding the real trend direction. 🔹 3. Previous Target & SR Flip Zone Price reaches the previous downside target, completing a downward liquidity move. From here, the market forms a support-resistance flip (SR-Interchange) — a textbook zone for institutional entries. Once this zone holds, it confirms that buyers are absorbing sell orders. The curve starts forming, indicating deeper market structure realignment. 🔹 4. Black Curve – Mind Mapping Curve Support One of the most important elements of MMC — the curve — acts as a psychological and algorithmic support line. The curve captures the accumulation structure in a flowing manner. Repeated touches and rejections confirm its strength. As long as price respects the curve, the bullish momentum remains intact. 🔹 5. Breakout Confirmation Price breaks through mid-range consolidation and hits Target 1. This move confirms a shift in market sentiment from indecision to bullish control. The breakout is supported by volume, structure alignment, and curve acceleration. 🔹 6. Major Breakout Zone A major resistance line is broken — this marks a shift in macro structure. At this point, we label the zone as “Major Breakout” — any retest of this can offer a high-RR entry. 🔹 7. Next Reversal Zone (Supply Zone) Price is now inside the Next Reversal Zone, which is a potential supply area or liquidity magnet. Institutional traders may use this zone for profit-taking or to initiate a deeper retracement. Watch for rejection signs, such as long wicks, engulfing patterns, or volume divergence. If this zone is absorbed (i.e., broken cleanly), expect another leg higher. 💡 MMC Summary (Flow Recap): Trap → Expansion → Liquidity Target → SR Flip → Curve Accumulation → Breakout → Target Hit → Reversal Zone Each stage reflects smart money behavior and follows the natural cycle of manipulation → accumulation → distribution. 📊 What to Watch Next? Confirmation Rejection in Reversal Zone? Short entries could be valid with curve re-entries. Bullish Continuation? A clean break above reversal zone = new weekly highs likely. Retest of Curve? If price pulls back, watch for rejections on the curve for safer long positions. 🚨 Trade Tips Based on This Setup: ✅ Use multi-timeframe confluence (M30 + H1 or H4) ✅ Always mark out previous liquidity zones ✅ Place SL below the curve or zone rejections ✅ Avoid entering trades inside expanding zones – wait for structure confirmation 🔖 Conclusion This BTCUSD setup showcases a masterclass in smart money behavior using the Mind Mapping Concept (MMC). From trap to breakout, every move is cleanly mapped, providing a strong edge to traders who understand institutional footprints. Whether you're a scalper, day trader, or swing trader, incorporating MMC curve support and liquidity logic can take your trading precision to the next level.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
XAUUSD Mind Mapping Breakout – MMC Strategy + Target📍 Overview: In today's Gold (XAUUSD) 30-minute chart, we’re witnessing a flawless execution of MMC (Mind Mapping Concept) strategy combined with SMC (Smart Money Concept) principles. This is a perfect case study for traders who want to understand how psychology, curve-based support, and structural mapping come together to create a high-probability bullish setup. 🔍 Full Breakdown of the Chart 1. Initial Market Behavior: Liquidity Grab & Structural Shift The market begins with a bearish drop, clearing liquidity below the previous consolidation. This is followed by a QFL zone (Quick Flip Level), which acts as a smart money accumulation point. Shortly after, price rebounds from the SR Interchange zone, where resistance transforms into support—a key MMC signal for upcoming structural shift. 🧠 Key Concept: Smart money often grabs liquidity before making a move. These zones are critical for identifying market reversals. 2. Black Mind Curve Support – Dynamic Trend Logic The Black Mind Curve is a dynamic support curve, not a traditional trendline. It represents how the market naturally flows, mapping out the collective psychology of buyers. Price respects this curve multiple times, forming higher lows—each one stronger than the last. This is where patient MMC traders build their positions, aligning entries with psychological market rhythm. 🔥 Why It Matters: While static lines may break under pressure, dynamic curves breathe with the market, providing more accurate structure support. 3. Structure Mapping – Tracking Market Intentions Structure Mapping is one of the core MMC techniques—tracking the "story" price action is telling through: BOS (Break of Structure) QFL traps SR interchanges Internal higher-highs and higher-lows The Major BOS line indicates a key shift in market direction from bearish to bullish, a confirmation point for trend-followers. 📌 Lesson: Once BOS is confirmed, the probability favors continuation rather than reversal. 4. Ellipse Trap – The Psychological Kill Zone This blue-highlighted ellipse zone marks where retail traders often get manipulated—buying false breakouts or shorting fake reversals. Price consolidates inside this ellipse before launching upwards. MMC refers to this phase as the “After Effect”—where true momentum begins after psychological traps are triggered. 🎯 Insight: Never enter a trade inside the ellipse unless you clearly understand market context—it’s where the market “confuses the masses.” 5. VIP Zone – The High-Probability Entry Window The VIP zone is a small but powerful price area where risk is minimized, and reward is maximized. It aligns with the curve, inner structure support, and BOS retest. This is your ideal entry zone, especially for those using curve-based confirmations. 🔑 Pro Tip: This is the sniper entry for MMC traders. Small SL, big reward. Enter after internal confirmation like pin bars or bullish engulfing. 6. Target Zone & Next Reversal Area After the explosive breakout, price hits the projected target marked clearly on the chart. The move aligns with prior imbalance zones and market inefficiencies, filling previous gaps. The market is now approaching the Next Reversal Zone, highlighted in blue—this is where MMC traders start watching for signs of exhaustion. 📉 What to Watch: Slowing bullish candles Bearish divergence on RSI or momentum indicators Sudden spikes in volume with no further upside 📚 Key MMC Concepts in This Chart: Concept Description QFL Zone Quick Flip Level; a liquidity trap zone before reversals. Black Mind Curve Curved support line reflecting psychological market flow. Structure Mapping Tracking HH/HL and BOS to define clear market bias. Ellipse Trap Market maker zone used to trap and reverse retail traders. VIP Entry Zone The safest and most efficient entry after structure confirmation. Next Reversal Zone Anticipated resistance based on confluence of previous S/R and imbalance. 🧠 Strategic Conclusion: This analysis perfectly illustrates how combining SMC with MMC enhances your trading edge. It’s not about predicting price, but understanding structure, reading psychology, and entering at high-probability points. Whether you're a scalper, day trader, or swing trader, using curve-based mapping like the Black Mind Curve gives you a fluid understanding of price, beyond rigid lines and lagging indicators. 💡 Final Thoughts: 📈 Follow the Story, Not the Noise. 📉 Enter Where It Makes Sense, Exit Where Others Get Emotional. ⚡ Use MMC to Read What the Market is Really Saying. ✅ Action Plan: 🔍 Monitor price in the Next Reversal Zone. 📉 Look for exhaustion signals before considering shorts. 🟢 If bullish continuation holds above target zone, next micro-level target would be derived from 1.618 Fibonacci extension.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
1
Trump Doubles Down: Steel and Aluminum Tariffs Raised to 50% By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades Donald Trump has returned to the political and economic spotlight with a clear message from Pennsylvania: double tariffs on steel and aluminum to 50%, aiming to "protect American industry." The announcement comes right after discussions surrounding the $14.9 billion acquisition of U.S. Steel (NYSE: X) by Japan’s Nippon Steel (TYO: 5401)—a deal that has reignited debates over industrial sovereignty and foreign capital in strategic U.S. sectors. The measure has not gone unnoticed. Canada, Europe, and Australia, key U.S. trade partners, have already expressed strong disapproval, warning of possible retaliatory actions. Trade tensions are once again on the rise, and the global manufacturing sector watches with concern as protectionist policies appear to make a comeback in the world’s largest economy. Fundamentals of U.S. Steel (NYSE: X) U.S. Steel has been one of the year’s standout stocks, especially after confirming its sale to Nippon Steel, but its operational numbers also deserve attention: • Market capitalization: USD 8.2 billion • P/E ratio (TTM): 11.8 • Q1 2024 revenue: USD 4.46 billion • Q1 net income: USD 189 million (4.2% margin) • Total debt: USD 3.9 billion • Free cash flow (2023): positive at USD 1 billion The company has strengthened its balance sheet by reducing debt and focusing investments on more efficient technologies (such as its Big River Steel facility). The new tariff support could further enhance margins in the second half of the year. Technical Analysis U.S. Steel (X) closed Friday at $53.82, up approximately +30% year-to-date. • Key resistance levels: $48.83 (2023 highs) and $46.31 (April highs) – both broken • Previous range: $42.00 high, $34.53 low • Immediate support: the last broken resistance at $46.31 • MACD: crossing upward, signaling positive momentum • RSI: 78.03%, nearing overbought territory Since early 2024, the stock has traded within a well-defined range, with brief pullbacks in September that retested during the holiday rally. It has since regained momentum, breaking the $44.44 resistance on the fourth attempt after three failed tests. Earlier in the year, the stock consolidated around the $38.00 area. If protectionist trade policy becomes official, we could see a breakout to new highs. However, if the Nippon deal faces regulatory or political hurdles, short-term volatility could follow. The key volume-weighted point of control is below the current range, with the last strong support area near $31.00. Conclusion: Trump’s statements represent a turning point that could directly benefit U.S. domestic steel producers like U.S. Steel. From a fundamental standpoint, the company shows financial strength and an increasingly efficient operational model. Technically, the stock is at a critical breakout zone, provided political support remains and merger conditions are clarified. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk.
NYSE:XLong
by ActivTrades
XAUUSD Analysis Today: Technical and Order Flow !In this video I will be sharing my XAUUSD analysis today, by providing my complete technical and order flow analysis, so you can watch it to possibly improve your forex trading skillset. The video is structured in 3 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the COT data analysis, so how the big payers in market are moving their orders, and to do this I will be using my customized proprietary software and then I will be putting together these two different types of analysis.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
44
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
37
Here's a weekly buy-side analysis🟢 Bias: Bullish (Buy) Gold remains in a long-term uptrend, with fundamental and technical factors supporting continued upside. 50 & 100 EMA: Price is well above both EMAs, confirming bullish momentum. RSI: Around 60–70 on the weekly; no bearish divergence yet. MACD: Histogram ticking upward with bullish crossover in play.⚠️ Risk Factors Sudden USD strength due to surprise Fed hawkishness. Strong U.S. labor or inflation data that pushes bond yields higher. Gold profit-taking near ATH could cause sharp but temporary pullbacks.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Forex_ViP_Signalss
19
Trade conflicts are re-emerging, will gold rise?Information summary: Gold prices rose slightly in early Asian trading on Monday, affected by the long-term uncertainty of tariffs and international geopolitical conflicts, which increased the demand for safe-haven assets. Trump made a statement earlier that China had violated the Sino-US trade negotiation regulations in a big way; then the US Treasury Secretary assured that the United States would never default. This has once again led to tensions in Sino-US trade relations, and investors are also cautious about this news. This news has undoubtedly disrupted the international market and supported the rise in gold prices. Traders need to pay attention to the May ISM manufacturing report to be released by the United States today, which may affect the new trend of gold. Trading analysis: I think the repeated emotions of the United States on tariffs will cause gold prices to rebound after a downward adjustment, and then fall slightly. If gold cannot break through the upward 3350 cycle pressure level strongly and stabilize above this position. Then the price will fall back below this position. Operation strategy: Long at 3340, stop loss at 3330, take profit at 3350. Short at 3350, stop loss at 3365, profit range is around the early support level of 3300-3390. If you want to trade steadily, you can continue to wait and see for some time, because there are too many black swan events in the Asian market today, and the market is full of uncertainty.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Quaid-1
Gold bulls take control as geopolitical risk take center stage!Gold prices advanced during the Asian trading hours, touching a fresh daily high around the $3,317 mark. The move comes amid a combination of factors boosting demand for the yellow metal, notably dovish signals from the Federal Reserve and escalating geopolitical tensions. The US Dollar weakened following Friday's softer-than-expected inflation data, which has strengthened market expectations for a potential Fed rate cut in the second half of 2025. Investors are now positioning for looser monetary policy, which typically enhances the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold. In parallel, geopolitical risks continue to dominate market sentiment. Ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East, coupled with renewed US-China trade tensions, have weighed on risk appetite and fueled safe-haven inflows into gold. From a technical standpoint, XAU/USD faces immediate resistance in the $3,355–$3,375 supply zone. A sustained move above this area could open the door to further gains. Conversely, any near-term pullback might find initial support near the $3,300 psychological level, with stronger buying interest expected around the $3,280–$3,278 region.
TVC:GOLD
by Blueberry
134
Decentralized AI Infrastructure in a trade war between US/ChinaThe AI revolution is real, but it has a critical weakness: GPU scarcity. NVIDIA's H100s are sold out to specific countries around the world, serving as crucial hardware for AI development. Cloud costs are skyrocketing. Access to compute is being gatekept by Big Tech. Meanwhile, China is no longer allowed to purchase these GPUs from the US due to the ongoing trade war and the escalating AI arms race between the two countries. Enter $CRYPTO: IONEUSD — a decentralized GPU network on Solana aiming to become the infrastructure layer for AI, machine learning, and high-performance computing. Just like Helium tokenized wireless infrastructure, IO is tokenizing global compute power. -AI is the fastest-growing sector globally, but compute remains the biggest bottleneck. -Cloud GPU costs are 4–10x higher than decentralized alternatives. -IO.Net positions itself at the intersection of AI, Web3, and tokenized infrastructure. -IO is early in its growth curve, currently holding a market cap of $131 million. I believe that IO.Net could represent a way for China to compete with the US in the AI race, offering a high-demand substitute for expensive and sanctioned chips — helping China stay competitive in AI development. Because IO.Net is decentralized, it cannot be easily shut down. I believe IO.Net is here to stay and has strong potential to grow significantly from its current market cap of $131 million. COINBASE:IOUSD NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:AMD NYSE:TSM BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:SOLUSD AMEX:SPY
CRYPTO:IONEUSDLong
by Liljan
EUR/GBP at a Tipping Point: Key Demand Zone or Breakdown Ahead?The EUR/GBP cross is currently trading in a key technical area, hovering around 0.8427, showing signs of mild recovery after a bullish reaction from a previously tested demand zone. 📊 Technical Analysis Price action reveals a compression phase within a descending channel (corrective flag), followed by a breakout to the upside last week. Price reached the supply zone between 0.8480 and 0.8535, which triggered a strong bearish candle rejection. Currently, the pair is testing support around 0.8400–0.8380, a level previously defended by buyers. The RSI bounced from oversold territory, suggesting the potential for a consolidation phase or sideways movement, rather than a clear divergence. 📌 Key Levels Dynamic Resistance: 0.8480 – 0.8535 Structural Support: 0.8380 – 0.8285 Upside breakout target (if momentum builds): 0.8660 📅 Seasonality Historically, June tends to be slightly bullish for EUR/GBP, especially on the 5-year and 10-year seasonal patterns. Curves indicate upward pressure between the second and third weeks of the month, suggesting that any retracement could present a seasonal long opportunity. 💼 COT Report Euro FX Non-Commercials reduced both longs (-1.7K) and shorts (-6.7K) → signaling indecision or rebalancing. Net positioning remains positive, but momentum is fading. British Pound Non-Commercials added significantly to longs (+14.2K) and slightly to shorts (+2.8K) → GBP is attracting bullish interest. This could reduce upside pressure on EUR/GBP in the short term. Overall, COT data currently favors the British Pound in the near term. 📈 Retail Sentiment Retail traders are heavily skewed to the long side (74% long), which may create contrarian downside pressure if the market moves against the crowd. The average entry price is around 0.8481, meaning many traders are currently underwater. 🎯 Conclusion & Bias Outlook Short-term bias: Neutral to bearish down to 0.8380 Mid-term bias: Moderately bullish if price holds above 0.8380 with higher lows confirmation Ideal long entry could emerge from a retest of 0.8380 with bullish confirmation (candlestick or RSI support) Alternatively, a clear H4 close below 0.8380 could open space down to 0.8280
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
3
Bitcoin Daily Technical Overview (BTC/USD)Currently, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is trading around $104,800. Up slightly but still digesting a sharp reversal that rattled short-term bulls. Recent Price Action: Rejection From $112K Back on 22nd May, Bitcoin surged to a new high near $112,000, fueled by bullish momentum, institutional flows, and strong on-chain accumulation. However, that breakout was swiftly rejected, and BTC fell as low as $103,400. This kind of "bull trap" reversal highlights a few key dynamics: 1) Overextended sentiment: The rally above $110K was not supported by volume or follow-through, suggesting exhaustion. 2) Profit-taking by large holders or institutions likely triggered a cascade of stop-losses, accelerating the decline. 3) Liquidation clusters in leveraged long positions likely exacerbated the drop. Bitcoin is now attempting to reclaim stability around the $104K–$105K range. 🔍 Technical Snapshot - Support Zones at $103,000 and $93,200 - Resistance Levels at $112,000 (ATH) Price is still above the 50 & 200-day SMAs, which could be a bullish longer-term signal. In addition, the price remains above the upper band of the cloud, but momentum is stalling. A decisive bounce off the cloud could reignite bullish sentiment. Or falling into the cloud could trigger more uncertainty and downside. Macro tailwinds: Concerns over U.S. fiscal stability and potential Fed rate cuts could keep Bitcoin attractive as a non-sovereign asset. 📈 Projection Scenarios Bullish Case: If BTC consolidates above $107K, we could see another attempt and retest of $112K. Bearish Case: Failure to hold above $103K could see Bitcoin revisit $100K, and if that breaks, downside opens toward the $93K level. 🧭 Insight & Takeaway The current reversal serves as a healthy reminder that no trend goes up in a straight line. Especially not in crypto. It likely shook out overleveraged longs, reset sentiment, and may give the market room to breathe before the next leg up. The long-term trend remains intact, but expect more volatility before any clean break to new highs. Always DYOR and DYODD and manage your risk.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by JinDao_Tai