6/6/25 - $lulu - Buy $260s, but not "need" to own6/6/25 :: VROCKSTAR :: NASDAQ:LULU
Buy $260s, but not "need" to own
- stock is objectively a buy here in the $260s, let's get that out of the way
- but when it comes to "what can happen next" or "what's the floor/drawdown", i think a few considerations
- flat EPS guide in '25 is not bc of structural issues w brand, so high teens PE esp on '26 #s is reasonable and FCF supports in mid to high 4s on '26 ests.
- the main fly in the ointment is obviously the US consumer and recession issues (second would be tariffs and ability to take price - which they talked on conf call - into this "weaker" consumer)
- ultimately i'd expect the stock to recover a bit here into the high $200s... perhaps $280 such macro doesn't fall to pieces immediately, but will be hard to see stock recover $300 soon.
- i also tend to think the lows could be tested if we get a risk off moment sooner vs. later
- and this isn't a "need to own" in my book at the moment, esp while i'm packing high conviction on obtc, nxt, gamb, tsm and starting to wrangle tsla as of y'day.
- so let's see.
- i won't get *too* greedy. i'm tempted here.
tldr
- but my target is probably in the sub $250 level to start biting and building position
be well my friends, have a good weekend!
V
Fundamental Analysis
Safe Entry Zone AURStock Price at 4h Green Zone which acts as Strongest Support Level for the Stock.
Only thing We Are Waiting is Stronger Buyers To Step-in.
Each Take Profit Line acts as Line to secure profits.
Each P.Low or P.High (Previous Low or Previous High) Acts as Strong Support Levels and Resistance Level you May lower Chart TF for better details.
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
6/6 Gold Trading StrategyAfter a short rebound, gold is now hovering near key resistance levels.
The critical zone is around 3366 – if price breaks above this, the next upside targets are 3378–3388.
However, from a broader perspective, the 4H chart still shows an uncorrected bearish setup.
Without strong buying volume, the price may drop again — potentially below 3330, or even breach the 3300 level.
—
📅 Key Data Releases Today:
🔹 NFP (Non-Farm Payrolls)
🔹 US Unemployment Rate
Both events are expected to bring high volatility, so manage your risk carefully.
—
📊 My Intraday Trade Plan:
✅ Sell on rallies
🎯 Target: around 3330-3290
📌 Only if price reaches that support zone will I consider shifting to a bullish bias
XAUUSD will it pump again? Gold free signal!!!Hello everyone.
I want share my idea about XAUUSD (Gold).
This week we started little bit bearish, week open we see big FVG at 4h chart which was not tested and till today it was coming down, but we see today after US news price was before into daily Gap zone and then show us aggressive buy.
Why we got aggressive buy today?
Gold (XAU/USD) staged an aggressive rally, climbing from a one-month low near $3,155 to around $3,219.81. The catalyst? U.S. economic news, likely softer-than-expected PPI data and growing concerns over a $1.049 trillion fiscal 2025 deficit, sparked safe-haven demand. A weaker dollar and renewed Fed rate-cut bets (possibly starting October) further fueled the surge. Gold’s appeal as a hedge against uncertainty shone through as markets digested mixed signals on Trump’s tariff policies.
Gold’s technical rebound could push it toward $3,400 if it holds above $3,200, but trade optimism or a hawkish Fed might cap gains. Long-term, analysts see gold hitting $3,700 by year-end, driven by inflation and policy risks.
Here is the setup for long side trade, my technical analysis is simple i am following trend, we have some shifting but that's not problem for, only i will be wrong if DXY will continue uptrend.
3212 open long position
3150 stop loss
3400 take profit
In my last analysis about gold i was wrong, my prediction was long but as i mentioned in my last post there was 2h FVG which worked well, and broke daily FVG zone plus last week low. If you want see my last post about gold it will be linked in this post.
Civic (CVC/USDT) Elliott Wave Analysis – Daily Chart (July 2020
The chart shows the ongoing corrective phase of Civic (CVC) within a larger bullish Elliott Wave structure. Key observations:
1. Wave (Impulse Wave):
Price surged from $0.01 to $0.80 (Nov 2020 - April 2021).
The movement displays a classic 5-wave impulse structure, with Wave 3 being the most extended.
2. Wave (Correction):
A complex, time-consuming corrective phase has been unfolding since 2021.
The current price action is forming a symmetrical triangle, often seen in Wave .
3. Wave (Potential Upward Movement):
After Wave completes, a significant bullish Wave is expected.
Target levels (based on Fibonacci retracement of Wave ):
61.8%: $0.50
100%: $0.80
161.8%: $1.20+ (Extended targets
Key Levels to Watch:
Watch for a break above $0.12 - $0.15 to confirm the start of Wave .
A sustained break of the downward trendline will signal a strong move upwards.
In Conclusion: Civic (CVC) is nearing the end of its Wave correction, and a breakout to the upside in Wave is highly probable, potentially driving prices back to the highs.
Feel free to paste this directly on TradingView!
Safe Entry ZoneCurrent Movement is Down.
The Green 4h Zone @ 277-271 price level is strongest support level price targeting.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock:
On 15M TF when Marubozu Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu Candle, because price will always and always re-test the imbalance.
Silver Analysis 06-Jun-25 - June Breakout MomentumDiscussing the possible scenarios on Silver that just broke above the 34.5 - 35 level, reaching around the 36.2. This breakout is fundamentally supported by:
* Weak U.S Economic Data
* Industrial demand
* Tighter Silver Supply.
* Market optimism after US and China talks.
It's important to watch-out for any reactive headlines, price action, and off-course the US Labor data we have today.
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Will Tesla keep dropping?Tesla's stock experienced a significant decline of 14% yesterday, primarily due to a public feud between CEO Elon Musk and President Donald Trump. This dispute has raised concerns about potential government actions that could adversely affect Tesla's operations.
The conflict began when Musk criticized a proposed tax and spending bill, labeling it a "disgusting abomination." In response, President Trump threatened to terminate federal contracts with Musk's companies, including Tesla and SpaceX. This escalation led to a sharp drop in Tesla's stock price, erasing over $150 billion in market value and removing the company from the $1 trillion market capitalization club.
Technical analysis indicates that Tesla's stock broke below key support levels, including its 50- and 200-day moving averages, suggesting a potential continuation of the downtrend. Analysts have identified support levels at $265, $215, and $170, with resistance around $365.
Despite the recent turmoil, some analysts remain optimistic about Tesla's long-term prospects. Dan Ives of Wedbush Securities maintains a bullish outlook, citing upcoming innovations like Tesla's robotaxi service as potential growth drivers.
However, challenges persist. Tesla faces declining sales in Europe, increased competition from companies like BYD, and potential regulatory hurdles stemming from Musk's political engagements.
-Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice, investment recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any securities. Stock prices, valuations, and performance metrics are subject to change and may be outdated. Always conduct your own due diligence and consult with a licensed financial advisor before making investment decisions. The information presented may contain inaccuracies and should not be solely relied upon for financial decisions. I am not personally liable for your own losses, this is not financial advise.
Jindal stainless ltdJindal Stainless Ltd has been forming higher lows and has now broken through the key resistance level at 660. With this congestion breakout, the stock signals a continued bullish move, potentially heading towards the target of 740.
Please conduct your own technical analysis and apply proper risk management before taking any trade. This is solely my personal view.
#jsl #bestbreakout #uptrend #longteam
Gold Overview Strategy June 6The 3-candle D1 cluster did not close above 50% of the main bullish candle on Friday last week. Today's main view will be to BUY to 3413.
Today's resistance is around 3413 for the SELL strategy of the US Session. The Asian-European session is looking for a BUY point. There was just a nice BUY wave around 3363 where the price swept liquidity to 3359.
3382 is the target for the BUY order and this area can SELL Scalp in today's Asian-European session for a recovery wave because today's target is up to 3413 according to the bullish structure.
In the direction of Gold Down, contrary to our analysis, the support zone 3341 and support 3324 will support the upward force of gold prices.
The breakout boundary zone 3382 and 3341. Pay attention to breaking out from important resistances, then do not trade against the trend.
Resistance: 3373-3382-3399-3413
Support: 3357-3341- 3325
What to Expect from Payrolls Data and Gold's Reaction to ItToday’s non-farm payroll (NFP) expectation is 126k, and the unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 4.2%.
Throughout the month, employment data has been weak. Both initial jobless claims and continuing claims have increased, and the ADP report also came in low.
The only partial strength was seen in last month’s JOLTS job openings data, but even that can be largely discounted due to reduced reliability in data collection.
In May, hiring typically increases in tourism, restaurants, and other service sectors. However, this year, tourism in the U.S. has been weak, and when considering tariffs, and low economic activity data and less business travel to US due to it, a soft NFP reading can be expected.
I also don’t think it would be wrong to expect slower hiring in logistics. If we assume that government sector hiring has also slowed, I believe we could see a double-digit NFP figure and an unemployment rate of 4.3%.
1- If the NFP comes in at 50k or lower, recession fears may trigger a rise in gold prices and if the figure is negative, the reaction could be even stronger.
2- If the result is between 100k–140k, I expect a sideways to mildly bearish reaction in gold.
3- If it comes in above 140k, I would expect a negative move for gold.
Over the past 12 months, gold's 6-hour return following U.S. payrolls data typically falls within a ±1.5 standard deviation range. On the upside, +1.5 standard deviation corresponds to a 0.71% gain, while on the downside, -1.5 standard deviation equates to a -1.70% drop. This asymmetry shows that gold tends to react more sharply to downside surprises in the data. Regardless of the direction, traders should not expect moves exceeding ±1.5% within the initial 6 hours after the release. If the returns passed 1.5%, profit taking should be considered for short-term trades.
Technically, gold has been in an uptrend since the May 29 bottom. As long as this trend remains intact, the short-term bias will likely stay to the upside.
BTCUSD at Decision Point – Rejection or Breakout Ahead? (4H)Bitcoin is currently trading around $103,500, and the price action is presenting a textbook technical scenario with multiple confluences. This chart is rich in structure — from rejection zones and trendlines to channel breakdowns and historical support retests — making it a critical area for traders to observe.
🔍 1. Previous Reversal Zone
The chart shows that Bitcoin previously faced a strong rejection near the $110,500–111,000 level. This created the first lower high, signaling the end of bullish momentum and the start of a trend shift. Every subsequent touch of that zone resulted in rejection, confirming it as a major supply zone.
📉 2. Descending Trendline – Dynamic Resistance
After multiple failed attempts to break above, price has formed a clean descending trendline that is acting as dynamic resistance. Each touch along this trendline has led to a short-term selloff, and price is now approaching this line again, near the Next Reversal Zone.
📌 This confluence increases the probability of another rejection unless there's a strong bullish breakout with volume.
📊 3. Bearish Channel & Breakdown
Before the recent fall, Bitcoin was trading inside a small bearish channel. This type of consolidation often results in continuation — which we saw with the downside breakout. This breakdown also increased bearish momentum and pushed BTC into the major support area.
🧊 4. Major Support Zone – The Battle Ground
Marked around the $101,000–102,000 range, this zone has acted as a strong demand area multiple times. The most recent bounce suggests that buyers are still active here. This could be the last defense for bulls in the short term.
🧠 If this zone breaks, we could see price falling toward the psychological level of $100,000 or even lower.
🌀 5. Ellipse Zone – Accumulation Structure
Early on the chart, an ellipse highlights a horizontal accumulation zone where price moved sideways before breaking out upward. This shows how smart money often enters during quiet phases before explosive moves. Watching for similar signs can provide strong trade setups.
🔄 6. Next Reversal Zone – Watch Closely
Price is now approaching the Next Reversal Zone near $104,500–105,000, which aligns perfectly with the descending trendline. This is a high-probability rejection zone where traders should be watching for bearish confirmations like wicks, pin bars, or bearish engulfing candles.
📌 Two Possible Scenarios
🟥 Bearish Scenario (High Probability):
Price touches the Next Reversal Zone and gets rejected.
We could see a drop back to the Major Support Zone.
If support breaks, expect a move toward $100K–99K in the coming sessions.
🟩 Bullish Scenario (Low Probability Without Volume):
Price breaks and closes above the trendline with strong bullish candles and increased volume.
In that case, BTC could rally toward the $107K–108K resistance and potentially flip the trend bullish.
💡 Trading Insight:
Fridays usually have low volume, leading to unexpected wicks and false breakouts. That’s why it’s important to:
Use small lot sizes
Wait for confirmations
Avoid overtrading before weekend closes
🧠 Final Thoughts:
This is a classic setup — consolidation after trend, rejection zones, trendline resistance, and strong support areas all in one chart. Whether you’re a price action trader or a structure-based analyst, this chart offers a powerful decision point.
Stay patient. Let the market reveal its hand. The next few candles around this trendline will likely dictate the next 1–3 day direction for BTC.
SOL/USDT Technical Breakdown: $125 Support in Sight?Key Observations:
1. Bearish Momentum Intensifying
SOL has been in a steady downtrend since its recent local high near $190, forming lower highs and lower lows on the 4H timeframe.
The current price sits around $147.63, having broken below a minor support level near $149.81.
2. Key Support Level: $124.50
The green horizontal line at $124.50 marks a critical demand zone, which acted as a launchpad during the April rally.
A clear blue arrow on the chart suggests a potential bearish continuation into that zone.
3. Structure and Price Action
The market is forming a descending channel, respecting key horizontal levels.
If the current downward pressure persists, a retest of the $124.50–$125 area looks likely.
Levels to Watch
Immediate Resistance: $149.80 – previous support now flipped
Support Zone: $124.50 – demand-based with prior reaction history
Trend: Bearish in short-to-mid term
Trade Setup Idea (Not Financial Advice)
Entry: $147–$149
Target: $125
Stop Loss: $155 (above minor structure)
Note to Traders
This setup leverages classic support-flip mechanics and momentum-based sell-offs. Watch for confirmation via volume spikes or sharp candle closes. As always, adjust sizing based on your risk tolerance.
Before the non-agricultural data, gold is waiting for the trendToday, the market will focus on the US non-agricultural employment data. The market expects that 130,000 new jobs will be added and the unemployment rate will remain unchanged at 4.2%. If the non-agricultural data is far worse than expected, it may continue to hit the US dollar and stimulate a sharp rise in gold prices. On the contrary, if it is higher than expected, it may also cause the US dollar to rebound, and gold will continue to maintain the possibility of low consolidation.
Yesterday, the US stock market collapsed across the board due to the debate between Trump and Musk. Therefore, I am worried that Trump will continue to make remarks to boost the US stock market today. Once the US stock market rebounds again, gold may continue to fall, or remain at a low level for consolidation.
From the 4-hour chart, it can be seen that gold has been rising along the 4-hour trend line. However, from the current chart, gold has not yet stepped back. Therefore, it is not ruled out that gold will continue to step back to 3330-3340 and then choose a direction again. 3330-3340 is a critical position. Once it falls below 3330 again, it is very likely to directly touch 3300. On the contrary, if it stabilizes at 3330-3340 again, then gold will definitely stabilize above 3400 if it goes up again.
Secondly, from the perspective of the US dollar:
The bottom divergence structure appears here in the 4-hour chart. Therefore, once the divergence of the US dollar takes shape, it will also cause gold to return to a low level again.
Therefore, be careful when going long on gold today. The position where you can go long today is in the range of 3330-3340. Secondly, if gold falls below 3330 today, it will test around 3300, so another long position for gold is around 3300. On the contrary, if it falls below 3300, there will be no chance to go long on gold, and the subsequent decline may accelerate.
4 HOUR OBSERVATIONS FOR TODAYS XAUUSD MARKET Today is an interesting day for the XAUUSD pair.
observation and patience will be key for any intentions before placing and executing a buy or sell position.
In the higher timeframe 4hour we have multiple situations to take note of, not overcomplicating any market scenarios and looking at the point blank facts that are presented to us in the present moment.
take note of.
1)A Double top formation (some may say its a triple top with the centre closures)
2)Most recent candle closures failed to break previous highs.
3)The 4hour EMA is close to our current price which will have either a reaction or break so observe with caution.
4)A strong trend line that has been well respected previously since 25th May.
5)A strong support zone that has had multiple touches.
6)Observe the lower time frame DESCENDING triangle chart pattern which could indicate a potential correction to the downside with a short term bearish movement.
7)1.30 Red folder news release.
I will be looking to enter on either a break out of the 1 hour descending to the upside for a scalp into the 4Hour resistance above price, or wait for clear break to the sell side aiming towards lower coordinates that align with 1 hour candle closures at resistances.
this is my first published analysis on trading view.
good luck to any traders out there creating their own life to attain freedom.
earn, learn and grow together - its time to exit the rat race !!
#btcusdt With all this news, it's time for a break for Bitcoin.I see a head and shoulders on the chart. What about you? If there was going to be a big, very big news, what do you think that news could be? I think Elon Musk and Trump are going to complicate this game for us a lot, but first and foremost, we have to accept that we have come to the age of technology and the future will be shaped by decentralized networks and blockchain chains. #btc #bitcoin
Fundamental Market Analysis for June 6, 2025 GBPUSDThe GBP/USD pair is trading near 1.3570 with little movement ahead of the US (US) labor market data.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar against six major currencies, is trading above around 98.80 at the time of writing. The upcoming US non-farm payrolls data for May is expected to add 130,000 jobs, down from April's 177,000. The unemployment rate is also expected to remain unchanged at 4.2%.
Weekly initial jobless claims rose to 247,000, above the 235,000 expected, U.S. Labor Department data showed. ADP US private sector employment data released on Thursday showed a 37,000 increase in May versus a 60,000 increase (revised from 62,000) recorded in April, well below market expectations of 115,000.
GBP/USD is gaining support as the Pound Sterling (GBP) finds support amid rising risk sentiment in the United Kingdom (UK) markets following US President Donald Trump's executive order signed on Tuesday. British exporters still face the previous 25 percent tariff rate as Trump granted the UK temporary relief from the US' stiff 50 percent tariffs on steel and aluminum.
Trading recommendation: SELL 1.3500, SL 1.3600, TP 1.3300
SPX is overheated, a correction is necessary📉 Market Update: No, It Has Nothing to Do with Trump
This move has nothing to do with Trump’s dramatic announcements. The reality is simple: the MACD on the daily chart is overheated, and a healthy correction is needed — likely down to the 5,520 level — before resuming the uptrend.
Now, does it surprise anyone that Trump acts like a PR agent for his investors? He always seems to drop “bad news” at the exact moment the charts call for a pullback. My guess? They're shorting right now.
🪙 Bitcoin Stalling
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is also losing momentum, and looks like it’s in need of a short-term correction as well. This suggests a week of consolidation ahead for the whole crypto market.
But let’s be clear:
🚀 The Bull Market Is Not Over
The weekly charts remain very bullish, and this trend could last another 4–6 months. The macro bullish structure for crypto remains intact.
However, in TradFi, there are cracks:
🔻 20-year bonds sold at 5.1% — a major recession red flag
💸 Tariffs are putting pressure on global trade
📉 The entire traditional market is starting to de-risk
🔮 What to Expect
Short-term correction to ~5,518 (first bottom target)
A possible rebound after healthy consolidation
A continued uptrend in crypto unless key support breaks
I’ll publish a new update when conditions change.
📌 Follow me to stay ahead of the market. And as always: DYOR.
#CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCorrection #BullishTrend #RecessionWarning #TradFi #Altcoins #BTC #MarketUpdate #TrumpEffect #DYOR
SOFI Weekly Call Setup – Bullish Flow into Friday Close🏦 SOFI Weekly Call Setup – Bullish Flow into Friday Close
📆 Date: June 6, 2025
📈 Bias: Moderately Bullish
🕒 Timeframe: 0DTE intraday swing to close
🧠 Multi-Model Consensus Summary
Model Bias Strike Entry Targets Stop Confidence
Grok Bullish 13.50C 0.33 $0.43 (+30%) $0.23 75%
Claude Bullish 14.00C 0.09 $0.18 / $0.27 $0.04 72%
Llama Bullish 13.50C 0.33 $0.50–$0.55 $0.17 70%
Gemini Bullish 13.50C 0.33 $0.50–$0.55 $0.17 70%
DeepSeek Bearish 13.50P 0.13 $0.20 $0.065 65%
✅ Consensus Direction: Moderately Bullish (4/5 models)
🎯 Key Level: $13.83 resistance; max pain = $13.50
📊 Catalyst: William Blair BUY recommendation adds support
📉 Contrarian View: DeepSeek sees fade toward max pain, but low volume = weak conviction
🔍 Technical Snapshot
Price: $13.69 (as of latest report)
Support: $13.50 (max pain & put wall)
Resistance: $13.83 (near R1 level)
Momentum: Short-term charts (5-min) bullish across MACD, EMAs
Volume: Below average, but rising near resistance
Volatility: VIX at ~17.7 → normal, quiet environment
✅ Trade Setup
Metric Value
Instrument SOFI
Direction CALL (LONG)
Strike $13.50
Expiry 2025-06-06 (Today)
Entry Price $0.33
Profit Target $0.50 (≈50% gain)
Stop Loss $0.23 (≈30% loss)
Size 1 contract
Confidence 71%
Entry Timing Market Open
🧠 Trade Management Plan
🎯 Take profit around $0.50–$0.55
🛑 Cut loss on break below $13.50 or if option falls to $0.23
📆 Time-based exit by today’s close (0DTE)
⚠️ Risks to Monitor
Strong resistance at $13.83 could cap upside
Theta decay on weekly option will accelerate after midday
Low volume = fewer buyers near top
Any adverse market news can drag the stock back toward $13.50
META Swing Setup – Long Call Into Overbought Strength📱 META Swing Setup – Long Call Into Overbought Strength
📆 Date: June 6, 2025
📈 Outlook: Moderately Bullish (10–14 day swing)
📊 Strategy: Buy naked call aiming for breakout above resistance near $700
🔍 Model Consensus Overview
Model Bias Strike Premium Target(s) Stop Confidence
Grok Contrarian 680P 13.25 +50% / -25% 75%
Claude Bullish 700C 10.38 $13.49 / $16.61 $7.79 75%
Llama Bullish 760C 0.97 ~100% Gain Below $680 80%
Gemini Bullish 745C 1.71 $3.42 / $5.13 $0.85 70%
DeepSeek Bullish 700C 10.50 $15.75 / $21.00 $7.00 75%
✅ Consensus Direction: Moderately Bullish
🎯 Key Technical Level: Resistance at $699–700
📊 Max Pain: $600 (ignored due to strong trend)
💡 Best Risk-Reward Strike: $700C – high OI & liquidity
⚙️ Technical Snapshot
Trend: Strong daily/weekly uptrend intact
Short-Term: Overbought RSI (77), 15-min consolidation
Support: $680–685
Resistance: $699–700
Volatility: VIX falling = stable setup
News: Sector strength and tech leadership intact
✅ Trade Setup
Metric Value
Instrument META
Direction CALL (Long)
Strike $700
Expiry 2025-06-20
Entry Price $10.38 (midpoint)
Profit Target $15.57 (50% gain)
Stop-Loss $7.78 (25% loss)
Size 1 contract
Confidence 75%
Entry Timing Market Open
🧠 Trade Management Plan
🎯 Targets
Take profit at $15.57
Optional second target: $16.61–$21.00 range if momentum is strong
🛑 Stop Triggers
Premium falls to $7.78
Underlying drops back below $680 (watch for trend break)
📆 Hold Duration
7–10 trading days max
Exit sooner if trend weakens or resistance rejection confirmed
⚠️ Risk Considerations
Overbought RSI: Pullback from $699 possible
Bid/ask spreads: Can widen in low volume
Max pain at $600: Could magnetize near expiration
Market volatility: Sudden macro shocks can derail momentum